Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System align closely on a daily maximum of 22°C for Istanbul on May 17, matching the mid-May climatological average under moderate southeasterly flow and partial cloud cover. This consensus, reinforced by early station observations and Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, has driven overwhelming trader positioning toward the 22°C outcome. Realistic shifts could arise from an unexpected increase in solar heating if skies clear more rapidly than modeled or from localized sea-breeze suppression that caps the peak one degree lower, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 17?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$61,253 Vol.
$61,253 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$61,253 Vol.
$61,253 Vol.
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System align closely on a daily maximum of 22°C for Istanbul on May 17, matching the mid-May climatological average under moderate southeasterly flow and partial cloud cover. This consensus, reinforced by early station observations and Turkish State Meteorological Service guidance, has driven overwhelming trader positioning toward the 22°C outcome. Realistic shifts could arise from an unexpected increase in solar heating if skies clear more rapidly than modeled or from localized sea-breeze suppression that caps the peak one degree lower, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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