The latest forecast from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) projects a maximum temperature of 23°C for São Paulo on May 17, amid mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward the 23°C or higher outcome at 74.5% implied probability. This aligns with global model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, influenced by persistent high-pressure systems steering mild southerly flows typical of autumn in southeastern Brazil, where climatological May highs average 23-24°C. Recent days have seen actual highs around 24-25°C, supporting expectations of reaching or exceeding the threshold despite cloud-induced suppression risks. Watch for INMET's May 16 update, as shifts in convective activity could refine probabilities near resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
23°C or higher 55%
22°C 22%
20°C 12%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
7%
22°C
22%
23°C or higher
55%
23°C or higher 55%
22°C 22%
20°C 12%
21°C 7%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
12%
21°C
7%
22°C
22%
23°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThe latest forecast from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) projects a maximum temperature of 23°C for São Paulo on May 17, amid mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward the 23°C or higher outcome at 74.5% implied probability. This aligns with global model runs from ECMWF and GFS showing highs in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, influenced by persistent high-pressure systems steering mild southerly flows typical of autumn in southeastern Brazil, where climatological May highs average 23-24°C. Recent days have seen actual highs around 24-25°C, supporting expectations of reaching or exceeding the threshold despite cloud-induced suppression risks. Watch for INMET's May 16 update, as shifts in convective activity could refine probabilities near resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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