Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System sustain a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, suppressing convective heating and holding Madrid’s daytime maximum near 22°C on May 17. This pattern, reinforced by light northerly flow and mostly clear skies, positions 22°C as the market’s leading outcome at 43 percent implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C trailing at 25.5 and 22 percent. Historical May climatology shows similar ridge setups typically produce highs of 20–24°C, aligning closely with the narrow distribution traders currently price. Updated model runs through tonight will determine whether any modest warming or cooling signal emerges before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 17?
22°C 42%
21°C 27%
23°C 23%
24°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
27%
22°C
42%
23°C
23%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 42%
21°C 27%
23°C 23%
24°C 7%
নতুন
নতুন
May 17, 2026
17°C or below
$1,350 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$908 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,053 Vol.
2%
20°C
$732 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,609 Vol.
27%
22°C
$1,234 Vol.
42%
23°C
$927 Vol.
23%
24°C
$418 Vol.
7%
25°C
$449 Vol.
1%
26°C
$226 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$877 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System sustain a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, suppressing convective heating and holding Madrid’s daytime maximum near 22°C on May 17. This pattern, reinforced by light northerly flow and mostly clear skies, positions 22°C as the market’s leading outcome at 43 percent implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C trailing at 25.5 and 22 percent. Historical May climatology shows similar ridge setups typically produce highs of 20–24°C, aligning closely with the narrow distribution traders currently price. Updated model runs through tonight will determine whether any modest warming or cooling signal emerges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$9,739শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System sustain a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, suppressing convective heating and holding Madrid’s daytime maximum near 22°C on May 17. This pattern, reinforced by light northerly flow and mostly clear skies, positions 22°C as the market’s leading outcome at 43 percent implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C trailing at 25.5 and 22 percent. Historical May climatology shows similar ridge setups typically produce highs of 20–24°C, aligning closely with the narrow distribution traders currently price. Updated model runs through tonight will determine whether any modest warming or cooling signal emerges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$9,739শেষ তারিখ
May 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System sustain a stable high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula, suppressing convective heating and holding Madrid’s daytime maximum near 22°C on May 17. This pattern, reinforced by light northerly flow and mostly clear skies, positions 22°C as the market’s leading outcome at 43 percent implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C trailing at 25.5 and 22 percent. Historical May climatology shows similar ridge setups typically produce highs of 20–24°C, aligning closely with the narrow distribution traders currently price. Updated model runs through tonight will determine whether any modest warming or cooling signal emerges before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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