Current meteorological model consensus from ensembles like ECMWF and GFS places Beijing's May 18 maximum near 26°C under a transitional spring pattern of moderate high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup supports the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting typical daily variance of 2–4°C in mid-May climatology where historical averages hover at 26–28°C. Key differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud cover that could cap solar heating or a brief warm advection surge that might push readings to 28°C, with official China Meteorological Administration surface observations at Beijing Capital International Airport serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of final verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 18?
25°C 36%
26°C 31%
27°C 24%
28°C 15%
নতুন
নতুন
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
25%
26°C
31%
27°C
24%
28°C
15%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
26°C 31%
27°C 24%
28°C 15%
নতুন
নতুন
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$526 Vol.
1%
23°C
$385 Vol.
4%
24°C
$381 Vol.
8%
25°C
$50 Vol.
25%
26°C
$209 Vol.
31%
27°C
$84 Vol.
24%
28°C
$27 Vol.
15%
29°C
$121 Vol.
4%
30°C
$61 Vol.
2%
31°C
$139 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$540 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological model consensus from ensembles like ECMWF and GFS places Beijing's May 18 maximum near 26°C under a transitional spring pattern of moderate high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup supports the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting typical daily variance of 2–4°C in mid-May climatology where historical averages hover at 26–28°C. Key differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud cover that could cap solar heating or a brief warm advection surge that might push readings to 28°C, with official China Meteorological Administration surface observations at Beijing Capital International Airport serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,470শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological model consensus from ensembles like ECMWF and GFS places Beijing's May 18 maximum near 26°C under a transitional spring pattern of moderate high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup supports the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting typical daily variance of 2–4°C in mid-May climatology where historical averages hover at 26–28°C. Key differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud cover that could cap solar heating or a brief warm advection surge that might push readings to 28°C, with official China Meteorological Administration surface observations at Beijing Capital International Airport serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$2,470শেষ তারিখ
May 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent meteorological model consensus from ensembles like ECMWF and GFS places Beijing's May 18 maximum near 26°C under a transitional spring pattern of moderate high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup supports the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting typical daily variance of 2–4°C in mid-May climatology where historical averages hover at 26–28°C. Key differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud cover that could cap solar heating or a brief warm advection surge that might push readings to 28°C, with official China Meteorological Administration surface observations at Beijing Capital International Airport serving as the resolution source. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of final verification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা