Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS place Beijing’s May 17 high near 20 °C, reflecting a weak cold front that advects cooler northerly air while sustaining extensive cloud cover and light rain that sharply limits daytime solar heating. Partial frontal clearance could briefly allow temperatures to reach 21–22 °C, yet persistent overcast favors readings at or below 19 °C. These model spreads explain why the market assigns 35 % to 20 °C and 29.5 % to 19 °C, with lower probabilities for outcomes outside the 19–21 °C band. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observational updates against historical mid-May climatology, where comparable frontal passages have produced similar narrow temperature ranges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
20°C 34%
19°C 29%
21°C 22%
18°C 15.6%
$18,097 Vol.
$18,097 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
16%
19°C
29%
20°C
34%
21°C
22%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 34%
19°C 29%
21°C 22%
18°C 15.6%
$18,097 Vol.
$18,097 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
16%
19°C
29%
20°C
34%
21°C
22%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAARecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS place Beijing’s May 17 high near 20 °C, reflecting a weak cold front that advects cooler northerly air while sustaining extensive cloud cover and light rain that sharply limits daytime solar heating. Partial frontal clearance could briefly allow temperatures to reach 21–22 °C, yet persistent overcast favors readings at or below 19 °C. These model spreads explain why the market assigns 35 % to 20 °C and 29.5 % to 19 °C, with lower probabilities for outcomes outside the 19–21 °C band. Traders weigh the latest model runs and observational updates against historical mid-May climatology, where comparable frontal passages have produced similar narrow temperature ranges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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