Forecast models from meteorological services indicate a high of 15–17°C in Moscow on August 13, driven by persistent cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and possible late sprinkles that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 15°C (25.5%) and 16°C (36.5%), as August climatology normally supports highs near 20–22°C but recent model runs show cooler-than-average conditions following earlier warmth. Key resolution factors include official maximum readings from central Moscow stations, with traders incorporating the latest ensemble guidance that keeps 18°C or higher below 10% combined probability. Updated forecasts ahead of the date remain the primary near-term catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 37%
15°C 26%
17°C 20%
14°C 10%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
26%
16°C
37%
17°C
20%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 37%
15°C 26%
17°C 20%
14°C 10%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
26%
16°C
37%
17°C
20%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from meteorological services indicate a high of 15–17°C in Moscow on August 13, driven by persistent cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and possible late sprinkles that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 15°C (25.5%) and 16°C (36.5%), as August climatology normally supports highs near 20–22°C but recent model runs show cooler-than-average conditions following earlier warmth. Key resolution factors include official maximum readings from central Moscow stations, with traders incorporating the latest ensemble guidance that keeps 18°C or higher below 10% combined probability. Updated forecasts ahead of the date remain the primary near-term catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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