Current forecasts from MetService New Zealand and global numerical weather prediction models indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C in Wellington on May 17, aligning closely with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects typical mid-autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and limited solar heating suppress warming near the long-term May average high of 14°C. Official resolution depends on the highest recorded temperature at Wellington’s primary monitoring stations. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow modest warming above 15°C, though ensemble consensus shows low probability of such deviations before the market closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on May 17?
14°C 99.8%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$53,942 Vol.
$53,942 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 99.8%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$53,942 Vol.
$53,942 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from MetService New Zealand and global numerical weather prediction models indicate a daytime maximum of 14°C in Wellington on May 17, aligning closely with the market-implied probability exceeding 99 percent for that exact outcome. This positioning reflects typical mid-autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, where moderate southerly winds, persistent high cloud cover, and limited solar heating suppress warming near the long-term May average high of 14°C. Official resolution depends on the highest recorded temperature at Wellington’s primary monitoring stations. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow modest warming above 15°C, though ensemble consensus shows low probability of such deviations before the market closes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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