Latest MetService and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime maximum of 15–16 °C in Wellington on May 18 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the May climatological average of 14 °C. Persistent cooler southerlies have limited daytime warming in recent days, while stable high pressure has maintained dry conditions and minimal cloud cover that would otherwise suppress the peak. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns a 50 % chance of above-average temperatures for the region through May, consistent with the current model consensus. The final high-resolution runs and any adjustments to the southerly component before Sunday will be the key variables that could shift the outcome between the tightly clustered 14 °C and 16 °C bands favored by traders.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
14°C 42%
15°C 30%
16°C 16%
13°C 10%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
10%
14°C
42%
15°C
30%
16°C
16%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 42%
15°C 30%
16°C 16%
13°C 10%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
10%
14°C
42%
15°C
30%
16°C
16%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest MetService and ensemble model guidance points to a daytime maximum of 15–16 °C in Wellington on May 18 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the May climatological average of 14 °C. Persistent cooler southerlies have limited daytime warming in recent days, while stable high pressure has maintained dry conditions and minimal cloud cover that would otherwise suppress the peak. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns a 50 % chance of above-average temperatures for the region through May, consistent with the current model consensus. The final high-resolution runs and any adjustments to the southerly component before Sunday will be the key variables that could shift the outcome between the tightly clustered 14 °C and 16 °C bands favored by traders.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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