Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and other officials, combined with sticky inflation and renewed U.S.-Iran tensions driving oil prices higher, have lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to the 5.24–5.27% range as of September 3, 2026. The move reflects higher real rates and market-implied odds of a possible September FOMC rate hike, with futures pricing roughly a 65% chance. Persistent fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury supply, and strong AI-related capital spending continue to pressure long-term yields upward, offsetting limited relief from recent buyback adjustments. Traders will watch September inflation releases, labor data, and the mid-month FOMC meeting for further shifts in the rate path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
Sep 30, 2026
5.60%
38%
5.55%
50%
5.50%
50%
5.45%
50%
5.42%
50%
5.39%
50%
5.36%
51%
5.33%
52%
5.30%
64%
$0.00 Vol.
5.60%
$0 Vol.
38%
5.55%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.50%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.45%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.42%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.39%
$0 Vol.
50%
5.36%
$0 Vol.
51%
5.33%
$0 Vol.
52%
5.30%
$0 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and other officials, combined with sticky inflation and renewed U.S.-Iran tensions driving oil prices higher, have lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to the 5.24–5.27% range as of September 3, 2026. The move reflects higher real rates and market-implied odds of a possible September FOMC rate hike, with futures pricing roughly a 65% chance. Persistent fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury supply, and strong AI-related capital spending continue to pressure long-term yields upward, offsetting limited relief from recent buyback adjustments. Traders will watch September inflation releases, labor data, and the mid-month FOMC meeting for further shifts in the rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and other officials, combined with sticky inflation and renewed U.S.-Iran tensions driving oil prices higher, have lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to the 5.24–5.27% range as of September 3, 2026. The move reflects higher real rates and market-implied odds of a possible September FOMC rate hike, with futures pricing roughly a 65% chance. Persistent fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury supply, and strong AI-related capital spending continue to pressure long-term yields upward, offsetting limited relief from recent buyback adjustments. Traders will watch September inflation releases, labor data, and the mid-month FOMC meeting for further shifts in the rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Recent hawkish signals from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and other officials, combined with sticky inflation and renewed U.S.-Iran tensions driving oil prices higher, have lifted the 30-year Treasury yield to the 5.24–5.27% range as of September 3, 2026. The move reflects higher real rates and market-implied odds of a possible September FOMC rate hike, with futures pricing roughly a 65% chance. Persistent fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury supply, and strong AI-related capital spending continue to pressure long-term yields upward, offsetting limited relief from recent buyback adjustments. Traders will watch September inflation releases, labor data, and the mid-month FOMC meeting for further shifts in the rate path.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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