The 30-year Treasury yield stands near 5.24-5.27% in early September 2026, pressured higher by sticky core inflation near 3%, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance with the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Market-implied odds price a meaningful chance of a September rate hike, while heavy Treasury supply, rising term premiums, and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure have lifted the long end and capped downside. Recent data show nominal growth remaining firm, supporting higher real yields. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report, September 11 CPI release, and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting with updated projections, all of which could shift trader positioning on the monthly low.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
Below 5.24%
61%
Below 5.21%
62%
Below 5.18%
50%
Below 5.15%
50%
Below 5.12%
49%
Below 5.09%
50%
Below 5.05%
50%
Below 5.00%
51%
Below 4.95%
36%
$0.00 Vol.
Below 5.24%
$0 Vol.
61%
Below 5.21%
$0 Vol.
62%
Below 5.18%
$0 Vol.
50%
Below 5.15%
$0 Vol.
50%
Below 5.12%
$0 Vol.
49%
Below 5.09%
$0 Vol.
50%
Below 5.05%
$0 Vol.
50%
Below 5.00%
$0 Vol.
51%
Below 4.95%
$0 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield stands near 5.24-5.27% in early September 2026, pressured higher by sticky core inflation near 3%, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance with the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Market-implied odds price a meaningful chance of a September rate hike, while heavy Treasury supply, rising term premiums, and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure have lifted the long end and capped downside. Recent data show nominal growth remaining firm, supporting higher real yields. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report, September 11 CPI release, and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting with updated projections, all of which could shift trader positioning on the monthly low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 30-year Treasury yield stands near 5.24-5.27% in early September 2026, pressured higher by sticky core inflation near 3%, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance with the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Market-implied odds price a meaningful chance of a September rate hike, while heavy Treasury supply, rising term premiums, and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure have lifted the long end and capped downside. Recent data show nominal growth remaining firm, supporting higher real yields. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report, September 11 CPI release, and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting with updated projections, all of which could shift trader positioning on the monthly low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...The 30-year Treasury yield stands near 5.24-5.27% in early September 2026, pressured higher by sticky core inflation near 3%, elevated energy prices from Middle East tensions, and a hawkish Federal Reserve stance with the funds rate at 3.50-3.75%. Market-implied odds price a meaningful chance of a September rate hike, while heavy Treasury supply, rising term premiums, and competing corporate issuance for AI infrastructure have lifted the long end and capped downside. Recent data show nominal growth remaining firm, supporting higher real yields. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 employment report, September 11 CPI release, and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting with updated projections, all of which could shift trader positioning on the monthly low.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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