Recent polling in Iowa’s 3rd congressional district shows Democratic candidates leading Republican incumbent Zach Nunn by double digits in head-to-head matchups, reflecting a shift in trader consensus toward the Democratic Party at 62.5 percent implied probability. Cook Political Report moved the race to toss-up status in January after previously rating it lean Republican, citing the impact of federal tariffs on the district’s agriculture economy and the competitive statewide environment for Democrats. With the Democratic primary set for June 2 and Sarah Trone Garriott positioned as the likely nominee following endorsements and withdrawals, attention now turns to how the general election environment and turnout among suburban and rural voters could affect the final margin.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
49%
Republican Party
45%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$907 Vol.
49%
Republican Party
$955 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Iowa’s 3rd congressional district shows Democratic candidates leading Republican incumbent Zach Nunn by double digits in head-to-head matchups, reflecting a shift in trader consensus toward the Democratic Party at 62.5 percent implied probability. Cook Political Report moved the race to toss-up status in January after previously rating it lean Republican, citing the impact of federal tariffs on the district’s agriculture economy and the competitive statewide environment for Democrats. With the Democratic primary set for June 2 and Sarah Trone Garriott positioned as the likely nominee following endorsements and withdrawals, attention now turns to how the general election environment and turnout among suburban and rural voters could affect the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,862শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Iowa’s 3rd congressional district shows Democratic candidates leading Republican incumbent Zach Nunn by double digits in head-to-head matchups, reflecting a shift in trader consensus toward the Democratic Party at 62.5 percent implied probability. Cook Political Report moved the race to toss-up status in January after previously rating it lean Republican, citing the impact of federal tariffs on the district’s agriculture economy and the competitive statewide environment for Democrats. With the Democratic primary set for June 2 and Sarah Trone Garriott positioned as the likely nominee following endorsements and withdrawals, attention now turns to how the general election environment and turnout among suburban and rural voters could affect the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$1,862শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in Iowa’s 3rd congressional district shows Democratic candidates leading Republican incumbent Zach Nunn by double digits in head-to-head matchups, reflecting a shift in trader consensus toward the Democratic Party at 62.5 percent implied probability. Cook Political Report moved the race to toss-up status in January after previously rating it lean Republican, citing the impact of federal tariffs on the district’s agriculture economy and the competitive statewide environment for Democrats. With the Democratic primary set for June 2 and Sarah Trone Garriott positioned as the likely nominee following endorsements and withdrawals, attention now turns to how the general election environment and turnout among suburban and rural voters could affect the final margin.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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