The Israel-Hamas ceasefire reached in October 2025 remains formally in place but has stalled in its second phase, with negotiations paralyzed by Hamas’s refusal to accept full disarmament as a precondition for Israeli withdrawal, reconstruction, and governance changes under the U.S.-backed Board of Peace framework. Recent statements from envoy Nikolay Mladenov emphasize that disarmament is non-negotiable and warn that continued deadlock risks entrenching a divided Gaza under prolonged Israeli security control east of the Yellow Line demarcation. Both sides have reported violations, including Israeli strikes and Hamas cross-border incidents, while Israeli officials have signaled readiness to resume operations absent progress on weapons surrender. No major diplomatic breakthroughs have occurred in the past month, leaving trader focus on whether upcoming talks or external pressure could break the impasse before any formal cancellation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডইজরায়েল x হামাস যুদ্ধবিরতি বাতিল করেছে...?
$4,019,051 Vol.
৩০ জুন
14%
$4,019,051 Vol.
৩০ জুন
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 2, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancellation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements that one side or another violated the ongoing ceasefire will not be enough to resolve this market to "Yes"; only a definitive announcement by Israel or Hamas, or otherwise a wide consensus of credible reporting that that the ceasefire has been ended, will qualify to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Israel-Hamas ceasefire reached in October 2025 remains formally in place but has stalled in its second phase, with negotiations paralyzed by Hamas’s refusal to accept full disarmament as a precondition for Israeli withdrawal, reconstruction, and governance changes under the U.S.-backed Board of Peace framework. Recent statements from envoy Nikolay Mladenov emphasize that disarmament is non-negotiable and warn that continued deadlock risks entrenching a divided Gaza under prolonged Israeli security control east of the Yellow Line demarcation. Both sides have reported violations, including Israeli strikes and Hamas cross-border incidents, while Israeli officials have signaled readiness to resume operations absent progress on weapons surrender. No major diplomatic breakthroughs have occurred in the past month, leaving trader focus on whether upcoming talks or external pressure could break the impasse before any formal cancellation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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