Ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran continue to shape trader assessments of any permanent peace deal, following the February 2026 outbreak of direct conflict that included U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian retaliatory missile and drone barrages. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire took effect on April 8 after more than five weeks of fighting, yet negotiations mediated by Pakistan have stalled over Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and control of the Strait of Hormuz. Recent U.S. proposals for a formal end to hostilities were rejected by Tehran in early May, with President Trump describing the ceasefire as on "massive life support" amid continued naval blockade enforcement and proxy clashes. Upcoming diplomatic rounds and potential escalation risks around the strait remain central factors that could shift probabilities in either direction.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
$911,055 Vol.
May 31, 2026
May 31
4%
June 30
14%
$911,055 Vol.
May 31
$261,244 Vol.
4%
June 30
$335,195 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran continue to shape trader assessments of any permanent peace deal, following the February 2026 outbreak of direct conflict that included U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian retaliatory missile and drone barrages. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire took effect on April 8 after more than five weeks of fighting, yet negotiations mediated by Pakistan have stalled over Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and control of the Strait of Hormuz. Recent U.S. proposals for a formal end to hostilities were rejected by Tehran in early May, with President Trump describing the ceasefire as on "massive life support" amid continued naval blockade enforcement and proxy clashes. Upcoming diplomatic rounds and potential escalation risks around the strait remain central factors that could shift probabilities in either direction.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
ভলিউম
$911,055শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran continue to shape trader assessments of any permanent peace deal, following the February 2026 outbreak of direct conflict that included U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian retaliatory missile and drone barrages. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire took effect on April 8 after more than five weeks of fighting, yet negotiations mediated by Pakistan have stalled over Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and control of the Strait of Hormuz. Recent U.S. proposals for a formal end to hostilities were rejected by Tehran in early May, with President Trump describing the ceasefire as on "massive life support" amid continued naval blockade enforcement and proxy clashes. Upcoming diplomatic rounds and potential escalation risks around the strait remain central factors that could shift probabilities in either direction.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$911,055শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran continue to shape trader assessments of any permanent peace deal, following the February 2026 outbreak of direct conflict that included U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian retaliatory missile and drone barrages. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire took effect on April 8 after more than five weeks of fighting, yet negotiations mediated by Pakistan have stalled over Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and control of the Strait of Hormuz. Recent U.S. proposals for a formal end to hostilities were rejected by Tehran in early May, with President Trump describing the ceasefire as on "massive life support" amid continued naval blockade enforcement and proxy clashes. Upcoming diplomatic rounds and potential escalation risks around the strait remain central factors that could shift probabilities in either direction.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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