Trader consensus on Polymarket prices negligible odds below 5% for any listed country—such as Saudi Arabia, Syria, Lebanon, Indonesia, or North Korea—recognizing Israel by June 30, reflecting entrenched non-recognition stances amid Gaza and Lebanon conflicts. No new diplomatic recognitions have occurred since the market opened November 20, 2025, with the Abraham Accords expansions stalled by unmet Saudi conditions for Palestinian statehood. Recent catalysts include Ireland's April 15 formal recognition of Palestine and Spain-led EU sanctions talks in early May, hardening opposition in Arab League and OIC states. Embassy plans in Fiji and Bolivia signal ties with recognizers, but holdouts face domestic pressures and no-confidence risks, leaving resolution unlikely absent late breakthroughs like snap elections or U.S.-brokered deals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhich countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
$329,594 Vol.
North Korea
3%
Cuba
1%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Lebanon
4%
Afghanistan
1%
Iraq
2%
Pakistan
1%
Syria
3%
Venezuela
1%
Tunisia
1%
Kuwait
2%
Qatar
2%
Indonesia
1%
Malaysia
1%
Bangladesh
3%
$329,594 Vol.
North Korea
3%
Cuba
1%
Saudi Arabia
3%
Lebanon
4%
Afghanistan
1%
Iraq
2%
Pakistan
1%
Syria
3%
Venezuela
1%
Tunisia
1%
Kuwait
2%
Qatar
2%
Indonesia
1%
Malaysia
1%
Bangladesh
3%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices negligible odds below 5% for any listed country—such as Saudi Arabia, Syria, Lebanon, Indonesia, or North Korea—recognizing Israel by June 30, reflecting entrenched non-recognition stances amid Gaza and Lebanon conflicts. No new diplomatic recognitions have occurred since the market opened November 20, 2025, with the Abraham Accords expansions stalled by unmet Saudi conditions for Palestinian statehood. Recent catalysts include Ireland's April 15 formal recognition of Palestine and Spain-led EU sanctions talks in early May, hardening opposition in Arab League and OIC states. Embassy plans in Fiji and Bolivia signal ties with recognizers, but holdouts face domestic pressures and no-confidence risks, leaving resolution unlikely absent late breakthroughs like snap elections or U.S.-brokered deals.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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