Adam Hamilton’s late April 2026 entry into the Kansas Democratic Senate primary has rapidly established him as the clear frontrunner, with traders assigning him an 86.5 percent implied probability of winning the August 4 nomination. His profile as founding pastor of one of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregations, combined with more than $1 million raised in the campaign’s first week, has given him substantial name recognition and organizational advantages over a crowded field that includes former state senator Patrick Schmidt, former USDA official Christy Davis, and several lesser-known challengers. Recent reporting on his fundraising and decision to run as a Democrat rather than independent has reinforced expectations that he will consolidate support ahead of the primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAdam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.5%
Patrick Schmidt 3.7%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$129,683 Vol.
$129,683 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Christy Davis
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Adam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.5%
Patrick Schmidt 3.7%
Sharice Davids 1.3%
$129,683 Vol.
$129,683 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
4%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Christy Davis
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton’s late April 2026 entry into the Kansas Democratic Senate primary has rapidly established him as the clear frontrunner, with traders assigning him an 86.5 percent implied probability of winning the August 4 nomination. His profile as founding pastor of one of the nation’s largest United Methodist congregations, combined with more than $1 million raised in the campaign’s first week, has given him substantial name recognition and organizational advantages over a crowded field that includes former state senator Patrick Schmidt, former USDA official Christy Davis, and several lesser-known challengers. Recent reporting on his fundraising and decision to run as a Democrat rather than independent has reinforced expectations that he will consolidate support ahead of the primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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