**Mild late-summer conditions and model consensus around the long-term average low are driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities for an 11–13 °C minimum on September 6.** Current official and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows in the 11–15 °C range under high pressure, light southerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.7 °C for the date, with the precise minimum hinging on the timing of peak cooling, cloud breaks, and local measurement conventions at Schiphol or central Amsterdam stations. September 2026 has run about 2 °C above the monthly normal so far, but no strong cold advection is expected overnight; instead, modest winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty bands that traders are pricing. Upcoming model updates from ECMWF and GFS runs, plus any last-minute observational adjustments, will likely refine the exact threshold probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
14°C 49%
12°C 27%
11°C 26%
13°C 25%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 6, 2026
8°C or below
8%
9°C
14%
10°C
19%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
25%
14°C
49%
15°C
17%
16°C
15%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
2%
14°C 49%
12°C 27%
11°C 26%
13°C 25%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 6, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Vol.
8%
9°C
$0 Vol.
14%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
15%
17°C
$0 Vol.
6%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild late-summer conditions and model consensus around the long-term average low are driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities for an 11–13 °C minimum on September 6.**
Current official and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows in the 11–15 °C range under high pressure, light southerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.7 °C for the date, with the precise minimum hinging on the timing of peak cooling, cloud breaks, and local measurement conventions at Schiphol or central Amsterdam stations.
September 2026 has run about 2 °C above the monthly normal so far, but no strong cold advection is expected overnight; instead, modest winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty bands that traders are pricing. Upcoming model updates from ECMWF and GFS runs, plus any last-minute observational adjustments, will likely refine the exact threshold probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild late-summer conditions and model consensus around the long-term average low are driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities for an 11–13 °C minimum on September 6.**
Current official and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows in the 11–15 °C range under high pressure, light southerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.7 °C for the date, with the precise minimum hinging on the timing of peak cooling, cloud breaks, and local measurement conventions at Schiphol or central Amsterdam stations.
September 2026 has run about 2 °C above the monthly normal so far, but no strong cold advection is expected overnight; instead, modest winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty bands that traders are pricing. Upcoming model updates from ECMWF and GFS runs, plus any last-minute observational adjustments, will likely refine the exact threshold probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Sep 6, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Mild late-summer conditions and model consensus around the long-term average low are driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities for an 11–13 °C minimum on September 6.** Current official and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows in the 11–15 °C range under high pressure, light southerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This setup favors temperatures near the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.7 °C for the date, with the precise minimum hinging on the timing of peak cooling, cloud breaks, and local measurement conventions at Schiphol or central Amsterdam stations. September 2026 has run about 2 °C above the monthly normal so far, but no strong cold advection is expected overnight; instead, modest winds and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty bands that traders are pricing. Upcoming model updates from ECMWF and GFS runs, plus any last-minute observational adjustments, will likely refine the exact threshold probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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