Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Tutiempo, and Yr.no project minimum temperatures in Jeddah around 30–32°C on August 30, consistent with typical late-August conditions driven by the Red Sea's high heat capacity, elevated humidity (often 50–70%), and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 28–30°C, with rare drops below 25°C tied to unusual synoptic patterns absent from current model runs. The market's elevated implied probability on 25°C or below (46.5%) contrasts with these stable, above-average readings and reflects trader focus on forecast uncertainty ranges or potential model revisions ahead of the 48-hour window, while probabilities clustered near 30–34°C align more closely with consensus guidance from regional monitoring. No significant weather developments have altered the outlook in the past week.