**Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models point to a minimum temperature near 24–26°C for Manila on September 17, amid typical southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity.** The closely matched market odds between 20°C or below and 30°C or higher reflect uncertainty in exact overnight cooling, driven by variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and modest model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Tropical nights in Manila feature limited diurnal range because of persistent moisture and weak winds, so even moderate rain or thicker clouds can hold lows above 25°C while clearer breaks allow slightly more radiational cooling. No nearby tropical cyclone is expected to alter steering patterns or bring stronger winds before the 17th, leaving localized convection and the intertropical convergence zone as the main variables. Traders are likely watching the next PAGASA and ECMWF runs for any shift in overnight dew points or wind forecasts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Manila on September 17?
20°C or below 83%
30°C or higher 83%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
20°C or below
83%
21°C
17%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
24%
27°C
21%
28°C
17%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
83%
20°C or below 83%
30°C or higher 83%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
20°C or below
83%
21°C
17%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
24%
27°C
21%
28°C
17%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models point to a minimum temperature near 24–26°C for Manila on September 17, amid typical southwest monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity.** The closely matched market odds between 20°C or below and 30°C or higher reflect uncertainty in exact overnight cooling, driven by variable cloud cover, rainfall timing, and modest model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Tropical nights in Manila feature limited diurnal range because of persistent moisture and weak winds, so even moderate rain or thicker clouds can hold lows above 25°C while clearer breaks allow slightly more radiational cooling. No nearby tropical cyclone is expected to alter steering patterns or bring stronger winds before the 17th, leaving localized convection and the intertropical convergence zone as the main variables. Traders are likely watching the next PAGASA and ECMWF runs for any shift in overnight dew points or wind forecasts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা