Recent forecasts for Moscow on August 29 indicate overnight lows primarily in the 9–13°C range under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds, consistent with late-summer radiative cooling and the absence of strong cold-air advection. Historical data show an average low near 11°C and an all-time record of 3.2°C (1989), establishing a plausible but low-probability tail for sub-4°C readings if clear skies and northerly flow intensify. Model consensus currently favors milder outcomes, yet the 46% market-implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty, potential model divergence in boundary-layer cooling, and the statistical precedent for rapid temperature drops in transitional August conditions. Upcoming NHC-style regional updates and local observational adjustments will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
3°C or below 86%
5°C 45%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 29, 2026
3°C or below
86%
4°C
1%
5°C
45%
6°C
26%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C or higher
23%
3°C or below 86%
5°C 45%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 29, 2026
3°C or below
$5 Vol.
86%
4°C
$35 Vol.
1%
5°C
$65 Vol.
45%
6°C
$59 Vol.
26%
7°C
$0 Vol.
27%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C or higher
$5 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow on August 29 indicate overnight lows primarily in the 9–13°C range under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds, consistent with late-summer radiative cooling and the absence of strong cold-air advection. Historical data show an average low near 11°C and an all-time record of 3.2°C (1989), establishing a plausible but low-probability tail for sub-4°C readings if clear skies and northerly flow intensify. Model consensus currently favors milder outcomes, yet the 46% market-implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty, potential model divergence in boundary-layer cooling, and the statistical precedent for rapid temperature drops in transitional August conditions. Upcoming NHC-style regional updates and local observational adjustments will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$169শেষ তারিখ
Aug 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Moscow on August 29 indicate overnight lows primarily in the 9–13°C range under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds, consistent with late-summer radiative cooling and the absence of strong cold-air advection. Historical data show an average low near 11°C and an all-time record of 3.2°C (1989), establishing a plausible but low-probability tail for sub-4°C readings if clear skies and northerly flow intensify. Model consensus currently favors milder outcomes, yet the 46% market-implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty, potential model divergence in boundary-layer cooling, and the statistical precedent for rapid temperature drops in transitional August conditions. Upcoming NHC-style regional updates and local observational adjustments will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$169শেষ তারিখ
Aug 29, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow on August 29 indicate overnight lows primarily in the 9–13°C range under variable cloud cover and light southerly winds, consistent with late-summer radiative cooling and the absence of strong cold-air advection. Historical data show an average low near 11°C and an all-time record of 3.2°C (1989), establishing a plausible but low-probability tail for sub-4°C readings if clear skies and northerly flow intensify. Model consensus currently favors milder outcomes, yet the 46% market-implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty, potential model divergence in boundary-layer cooling, and the statistical precedent for rapid temperature drops in transitional August conditions. Upcoming NHC-style regional updates and local observational adjustments will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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