Strong forecast consensus from National Weather Service and AccuWeather models points to a minimum temperature of 68–69°F in New York City on August 15, 2026, under sunny, seasonable conditions with overnight lows near historical mid-August averages of 69°F. This drives the 98.5% market-implied probability, as recent model runs show stable high pressure and minimal advection of cooler air. Traders weigh official guidance heavily, recognizing that minor forecast adjustments could still occur before the daily minimum is recorded at stations like Central Park or LaGuardia. An unexpected frontal passage or greater radiational cooling than projected represents the main scenarios that could shift the outcome into the 66–67°F range, though current data offer little support for such deviations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
68-69°F 99%
64-65°F 2%
66-67°F 2%
62-63°F <1%
$22,922 Vol.
$22,922 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
99%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 99%
64-65°F 2%
66-67°F 2%
62-63°F <1%
$22,922 Vol.
$22,922 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
$336 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$317 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$979 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$751 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$517 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$667 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$2,443 Vol.
99%
70-71°F
$12,202 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,410 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,408 Vol.
<1%
76°F or higher
$891 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from National Weather Service and AccuWeather models points to a minimum temperature of 68–69°F in New York City on August 15, 2026, under sunny, seasonable conditions with overnight lows near historical mid-August averages of 69°F. This drives the 98.5% market-implied probability, as recent model runs show stable high pressure and minimal advection of cooler air. Traders weigh official guidance heavily, recognizing that minor forecast adjustments could still occur before the daily minimum is recorded at stations like Central Park or LaGuardia. An unexpected frontal passage or greater radiational cooling than projected represents the main scenarios that could shift the outcome into the 66–67°F range, though current data offer little support for such deviations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$22,922শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from National Weather Service and AccuWeather models points to a minimum temperature of 68–69°F in New York City on August 15, 2026, under sunny, seasonable conditions with overnight lows near historical mid-August averages of 69°F. This drives the 98.5% market-implied probability, as recent model runs show stable high pressure and minimal advection of cooler air. Traders weigh official guidance heavily, recognizing that minor forecast adjustments could still occur before the daily minimum is recorded at stations like Central Park or LaGuardia. An unexpected frontal passage or greater radiational cooling than projected represents the main scenarios that could shift the outcome into the 66–67°F range, though current data offer little support for such deviations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$22,922শেষ তারিখ
Aug 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong forecast consensus from National Weather Service and AccuWeather models points to a minimum temperature of 68–69°F in New York City on August 15, 2026, under sunny, seasonable conditions with overnight lows near historical mid-August averages of 69°F. This drives the 98.5% market-implied probability, as recent model runs show stable high pressure and minimal advection of cooler air. Traders weigh official guidance heavily, recognizing that minor forecast adjustments could still occur before the daily minimum is recorded at stations like Central Park or LaGuardia. An unexpected frontal passage or greater radiational cooling than projected represents the main scenarios that could shift the outcome into the 66–67°F range, though current data offer little support for such deviations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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