Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 19–22°C in Qingdao on September 12, driven by southerly flow, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This range aligns with climatological September averages for the coastal Shandong location, where sea breezes typically moderate extremes. Trader positioning favoring 15°C or below at 49.5% implied probability likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model spreads, potential for localized urban or station-specific readings, and historical variability in early-autumn frontal passages. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and any revised ECMWF or GFS runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 12?
25°C or higher 47%
16°C 40%
18°C 39%
20°C 39%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
28%
16°C
40%
17°C
26%
18°C
39%
19°C
24%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
47%
25°C or higher 47%
16°C 40%
18°C 39%
20°C 39%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$10 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 19–22°C in Qingdao on September 12, driven by southerly flow, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This range aligns with climatological September averages for the coastal Shandong location, where sea breezes typically moderate extremes. Trader positioning favoring 15°C or below at 49.5% implied probability likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model spreads, potential for localized urban or station-specific readings, and historical variability in early-autumn frontal passages. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and any revised ECMWF or GFS runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ভলিউম
$10শেষ তারিখ
Sep 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 19–22°C in Qingdao on September 12, driven by southerly flow, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This range aligns with climatological September averages for the coastal Shandong location, where sea breezes typically moderate extremes. Trader positioning favoring 15°C or below at 49.5% implied probability likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model spreads, potential for localized urban or station-specific readings, and historical variability in early-autumn frontal passages. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and any revised ECMWF or GFS runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$10শেষ তারিখ
Sep 12, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature near 19–22°C in Qingdao on September 12, driven by southerly flow, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This range aligns with climatological September averages for the coastal Shandong location, where sea breezes typically moderate extremes. Trader positioning favoring 15°C or below at 49.5% implied probability likely reflects uncertainty in short-range model spreads, potential for localized urban or station-specific readings, and historical variability in early-autumn frontal passages. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and any revised ECMWF or GFS runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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