Latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and models like those referenced by AccuWeather place Tokyo’s overnight low for August 16 near 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (49.5%) and 23°C (28%). This positioning reflects typical mid-August climatology, where average minimums hover around 23.6°C amid high humidity that limits radiative cooling, combined with urban heat retention and expected partly cloudy conditions that moderate temperature drops. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences altering the pattern in the next 24 hours. Traders thus favor outcomes clustered around these values, as any deviation would require unexpected clearer skies or stronger winds to push the low notably higher or lower before dawn.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 16?
24°C 50%
23°C 30%
22°C 10%
25°C 4%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
30%
24°C
50%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 30%
22°C 10%
25°C 4%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
30%
24°C
50%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and models like those referenced by AccuWeather place Tokyo’s overnight low for August 16 near 22–24°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 24°C (49.5%) and 23°C (28%). This positioning reflects typical mid-August climatology, where average minimums hover around 23.6°C amid high humidity that limits radiative cooling, combined with urban heat retention and expected partly cloudy conditions that moderate temperature drops. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences altering the pattern in the next 24 hours. Traders thus favor outcomes clustered around these values, as any deviation would require unexpected clearer skies or stronger winds to push the low notably higher or lower before dawn.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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