Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble guidance and supporting regional models point to a Tokyo minimum near 25–26 °C on August 27 under partly cloudy conditions and light southerly flow, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Typical late-August climatology features overnight lows of 24–25 °C, but persistent warmth aloft and urban heat retention favor the slightly higher values currently priced. Key variables include the exact timing of any evening clearing and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast shifts in these factors could easily move the observed low across the 25–26 °C threshold. Updated short-range model runs and official JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
26°C 45%
25°C 43%
22°C 5%
24°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C
5%
25°C
43%
26°C
43%
27°C
5%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 45%
25°C 43%
22°C 5%
24°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$5 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$184 Vol.
43%
26°C
$308 Vol.
43%
27°C
$20 Vol.
5%
28°C
$80 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble guidance and supporting regional models point to a Tokyo minimum near 25–26 °C on August 27 under partly cloudy conditions and light southerly flow, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Typical late-August climatology features overnight lows of 24–25 °C, but persistent warmth aloft and urban heat retention favor the slightly higher values currently priced. Key variables include the exact timing of any evening clearing and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast shifts in these factors could easily move the observed low across the 25–26 °C threshold. Updated short-range model runs and official JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$612শেষ তারিখ
Aug 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble guidance and supporting regional models point to a Tokyo minimum near 25–26 °C on August 27 under partly cloudy conditions and light southerly flow, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Typical late-August climatology features overnight lows of 24–25 °C, but persistent warmth aloft and urban heat retention favor the slightly higher values currently priced. Key variables include the exact timing of any evening clearing and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast shifts in these factors could easily move the observed low across the 25–26 °C threshold. Updated short-range model runs and official JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$612শেষ তারিখ
Aug 27, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble guidance and supporting regional models point to a Tokyo minimum near 25–26 °C on August 27 under partly cloudy conditions and light southerly flow, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Typical late-August climatology features overnight lows of 24–25 °C, but persistent warmth aloft and urban heat retention favor the slightly higher values currently priced. Key variables include the exact timing of any evening clearing and boundary-layer mixing; small forecast shifts in these factors could easily move the observed low across the 25–26 °C threshold. Updated short-range model runs and official JMA briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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