Recent numerical weather model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 18 will likely settle near 19–20°C under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow. These conditions suppress radiative cooling, while dew points around 15–17°C and elevated humidity further moderate temperature drops. Daytime highs near 24–25°C and ongoing light rain or drizzle maintain a mild boundary layer, consistent with late-summer patterns lacking strong cold advection. Market-implied odds closely split between 19°C and 20°C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, with traders weighting the most recent model consensus and typical verification biases in urban heat-island effects. Upcoming evening observations and final model updates will refine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 18?
20°C 40%
19°C 36%
21°C 13%
22°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
11%
18°C
7%
19°C
36%
20°C
40%
21°C
13%
22°C
13%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 40%
19°C 36%
21°C 13%
22°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
$53 Vol.
1%
15°C
$53 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
11%
18°C
$243 Vol.
7%
19°C
$1,512 Vol.
36%
20°C
$1,029 Vol.
40%
21°C
$16 Vol.
13%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C or higher
$29 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 18 will likely settle near 19–20°C under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow. These conditions suppress radiative cooling, while dew points around 15–17°C and elevated humidity further moderate temperature drops. Daytime highs near 24–25°C and ongoing light rain or drizzle maintain a mild boundary layer, consistent with late-summer patterns lacking strong cold advection. Market-implied odds closely split between 19°C and 20°C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, with traders weighting the most recent model consensus and typical verification biases in urban heat-island effects. Upcoming evening observations and final model updates will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,935শেষ তারিখ
Sep 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 18 will likely settle near 19–20°C under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow. These conditions suppress radiative cooling, while dew points around 15–17°C and elevated humidity further moderate temperature drops. Daytime highs near 24–25°C and ongoing light rain or drizzle maintain a mild boundary layer, consistent with late-summer patterns lacking strong cold advection. Market-implied odds closely split between 19°C and 20°C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, with traders weighting the most recent model consensus and typical verification biases in urban heat-island effects. Upcoming evening observations and final model updates will refine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,935শেষ তারিখ
Sep 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 18 will likely settle near 19–20°C under persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow. These conditions suppress radiative cooling, while dew points around 15–17°C and elevated humidity further moderate temperature drops. Daytime highs near 24–25°C and ongoing light rain or drizzle maintain a mild boundary layer, consistent with late-summer patterns lacking strong cold advection. Market-implied odds closely split between 19°C and 20°C reflect this narrow forecast envelope, with traders weighting the most recent model consensus and typical verification biases in urban heat-island effects. Upcoming evening observations and final model updates will refine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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