**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s August 25 minimum temperature centers on the 11–13 °C range, with 12 °C leading at 34.5 % implied probability, followed by 11 °C (29 %) and 13 °C (25 %).** These closely matched odds reflect forecast consensus around an overnight low near 11–12 °C under persistent northwesterly flow. Current model guidance and recent observations show a stable synoptic pattern: northwesterlies (15–25 kt) advecting relatively mild maritime air across the region, with partly cloudy skies and limited radiative cooling. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent wind mix the boundary layer, preventing sharp nocturnal drops typical of calmer inland sites. Sea-surface temperatures around New Zealand remain above the long-term average, further moderating minimums. Differentiating factors among the leading outcomes include small uncertainties in cloud cover and wind strength on the night of the 24th–25th. Slightly clearer skies or lighter winds could allow the thermometer to reach 11 °C, while increased cloud or stronger gusts would likely hold the low near 12–13 °C. No significant cold front or southerly change is indicated in the short term, keeping probabilities for sub-10 °C outcomes low. Updated high-resolution model runs and MetService guidance over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
12°C 37%
18°C or higher 34%
11°C 29%
13°C 28%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
8%
9°C
10%
10°C
20%
11°C
29%
12°C
37%
13°C
28%
14°C
8%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
34%
12°C 37%
18°C or higher 34%
11°C 29%
13°C 28%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
$37 Vol.
8%
9°C
$15 Vol.
10%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
37%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$21 Vol.
8%
15°C
$5 Vol.
1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
3%
17°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$130 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s August 25 minimum temperature centers on the 11–13 °C range, with 12 °C leading at 34.5 % implied probability, followed by 11 °C (29 %) and 13 °C (25 %).** These closely matched odds reflect forecast consensus around an overnight low near 11–12 °C under persistent northwesterly flow.
Current model guidance and recent observations show a stable synoptic pattern: northwesterlies (15–25 kt) advecting relatively mild maritime air across the region, with partly cloudy skies and limited radiative cooling. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent wind mix the boundary layer, preventing sharp nocturnal drops typical of calmer inland sites. Sea-surface temperatures around New Zealand remain above the long-term average, further moderating minimums.
Differentiating factors among the leading outcomes include small uncertainties in cloud cover and wind strength on the night of the 24th–25th. Slightly clearer skies or lighter winds could allow the thermometer to reach 11 °C, while increased cloud or stronger gusts would likely hold the low near 12–13 °C. No significant cold front or southerly change is indicated in the short term, keeping probabilities for sub-10 °C outcomes low. Updated high-resolution model runs and MetService guidance over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$706শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s August 25 minimum temperature centers on the 11–13 °C range, with 12 °C leading at 34.5 % implied probability, followed by 11 °C (29 %) and 13 °C (25 %).** These closely matched odds reflect forecast consensus around an overnight low near 11–12 °C under persistent northwesterly flow.
Current model guidance and recent observations show a stable synoptic pattern: northwesterlies (15–25 kt) advecting relatively mild maritime air across the region, with partly cloudy skies and limited radiative cooling. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent wind mix the boundary layer, preventing sharp nocturnal drops typical of calmer inland sites. Sea-surface temperatures around New Zealand remain above the long-term average, further moderating minimums.
Differentiating factors among the leading outcomes include small uncertainties in cloud cover and wind strength on the night of the 24th–25th. Slightly clearer skies or lighter winds could allow the thermometer to reach 11 °C, while increased cloud or stronger gusts would likely hold the low near 12–13 °C. No significant cold front or southerly change is indicated in the short term, keeping probabilities for sub-10 °C outcomes low. Updated high-resolution model runs and MetService guidance over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$706শেষ তারিখ
Aug 25, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Wellington’s August 25 minimum temperature centers on the 11–13 °C range, with 12 °C leading at 34.5 % implied probability, followed by 11 °C (29 %) and 13 °C (25 %).** These closely matched odds reflect forecast consensus around an overnight low near 11–12 °C under persistent northwesterly flow. Current model guidance and recent observations show a stable synoptic pattern: northwesterlies (15–25 kt) advecting relatively mild maritime air across the region, with partly cloudy skies and limited radiative cooling. Wellington’s exposed coastal location and frequent wind mix the boundary layer, preventing sharp nocturnal drops typical of calmer inland sites. Sea-surface temperatures around New Zealand remain above the long-term average, further moderating minimums. Differentiating factors among the leading outcomes include small uncertainties in cloud cover and wind strength on the night of the 24th–25th. Slightly clearer skies or lighter winds could allow the thermometer to reach 11 °C, while increased cloud or stronger gusts would likely hold the low near 12–13 °C. No significant cold front or southerly change is indicated in the short term, keeping probabilities for sub-10 °C outcomes low. Updated high-resolution model runs and MetService guidance over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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