**Current forecasts for Wellington on September 5 indicate a mild spring night with minimum temperatures likely in the 10–12°C range, supporting the leading 12°C market outcome at 36.5%.** Strong northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover from recent model runs are limiting radiational cooling, while the absence of a strong cold front keeps probabilities for 7°C or below (34.5%) from dominating despite September’s historical potential for sharper drops. The near-even split with 17°C or higher (34.5%) reflects model spread on whether clearer skies or a warmer air mass could push the low above typical early-spring baselines of 7–9°C. Short-term uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength, typical for coastal New Zealand locations, explains the closely matched trader sentiment ahead of updated MetService and NIWA guidance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
7°C or below 69%
17°C or higher 69%
13°C 47%
9°C 46%
7°C or below
69%
8°C
18%
9°C
46%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
37%
13°C
47%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
69%
7°C or below 69%
17°C or higher 69%
13°C 47%
9°C 46%
7°C or below
69%
8°C
18%
9°C
46%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
37%
13°C
47%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Wellington on September 5 indicate a mild spring night with minimum temperatures likely in the 10–12°C range, supporting the leading 12°C market outcome at 36.5%.** Strong northwesterly winds and variable cloud cover from recent model runs are limiting radiational cooling, while the absence of a strong cold front keeps probabilities for 7°C or below (34.5%) from dominating despite September’s historical potential for sharper drops. The near-even split with 17°C or higher (34.5%) reflects model spread on whether clearer skies or a warmer air mass could push the low above typical early-spring baselines of 7–9°C. Short-term uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength, typical for coastal New Zealand locations, explains the closely matched trader sentiment ahead of updated MetService and NIWA guidance.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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