Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured renomination in the August 4 primary with over 77 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a fragmented field in the same contest. Missouri’s 4th district carries a pronounced Republican tilt under the current map, reflected in consistent Solid Republican and Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Alford’s prior general-election margins and the district’s voter composition have anchored trader consensus around a strong Republican hold heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts in suburban counties, major national economic or political events, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages for the Republican nominee limit realistic paths for a Democratic upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMO-04 House Election Winner
MO-04 House Election Winner
$50,168 Vol.
$50,168 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$50,168 Vol.
$50,168 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$32,792 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$17,376 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured renomination in the August 4 primary with over 77 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a fragmented field in the same contest. Missouri’s 4th district carries a pronounced Republican tilt under the current map, reflected in consistent Solid Republican and Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Alford’s prior general-election margins and the district’s voter composition have anchored trader consensus around a strong Republican hold heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts in suburban counties, major national economic or political events, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages for the Republican nominee limit realistic paths for a Democratic upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$50,168শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured renomination in the August 4 primary with over 77 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a fragmented field in the same contest. Missouri’s 4th district carries a pronounced Republican tilt under the current map, reflected in consistent Solid Republican and Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Alford’s prior general-election margins and the district’s voter composition have anchored trader consensus around a strong Republican hold heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts in suburban counties, major national economic or political events, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages for the Republican nominee limit realistic paths for a Democratic upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$50,168শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured renomination in the August 4 primary with over 77 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jordan Herrera advanced from a fragmented field in the same contest. Missouri’s 4th district carries a pronounced Republican tilt under the current map, reflected in consistent Solid Republican and Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Alford’s prior general-election margins and the district’s voter composition have anchored trader consensus around a strong Republican hold heading into the November 3 general election. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts in suburban counties, major national economic or political events, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages for the Republican nominee limit realistic paths for a Democratic upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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