In Montana's open 2026 Senate race, the state's consistent Republican voting patterns and the party's rapid consolidation behind former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew minutes before the March filing deadline explain the 78.5 percent trader consensus on a Republican winner. Alme secured endorsements from President Trump and the state's congressional delegation, while minor primary challengers have not altered the trajectory ahead of the June 2 primaries. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, captures 15.8 percent by drawing from potential opposition voters in early polling, whereas the Democratic primary field led by Reilly Neill shows limited statewide strength. These factors, set against Montana's partisan baseline, keep Democratic chances at just 2.2 percent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRepublican 79%
Independent 15.8%
Democrat 2.2%
$72,988 Vol.
$72,988 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
79%
Independent
16%
Democrat
2%
Republican 79%
Independent 15.8%
Democrat 2.2%
$72,988 Vol.
$72,988 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$37,499 Vol.
79%
Independent
$1,575 Vol.
16%
Democrat
$33,914 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.In Montana's open 2026 Senate race, the state's consistent Republican voting patterns and the party's rapid consolidation behind former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew minutes before the March filing deadline explain the 78.5 percent trader consensus on a Republican winner. Alme secured endorsements from President Trump and the state's congressional delegation, while minor primary challengers have not altered the trajectory ahead of the June 2 primaries. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, captures 15.8 percent by drawing from potential opposition voters in early polling, whereas the Democratic primary field led by Reilly Neill shows limited statewide strength. These factors, set against Montana's partisan baseline, keep Democratic chances at just 2.2 percent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$72,988শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.In Montana's open 2026 Senate race, the state's consistent Republican voting patterns and the party's rapid consolidation behind former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew minutes before the March filing deadline explain the 78.5 percent trader consensus on a Republican winner. Alme secured endorsements from President Trump and the state's congressional delegation, while minor primary challengers have not altered the trajectory ahead of the June 2 primaries. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, captures 15.8 percent by drawing from potential opposition voters in early polling, whereas the Democratic primary field led by Reilly Neill shows limited statewide strength. These factors, set against Montana's partisan baseline, keep Democratic chances at just 2.2 percent.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$72,988শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Montana's open 2026 Senate race, the state's consistent Republican voting patterns and the party's rapid consolidation behind former U.S. Attorney Kurt Alme after incumbent Steve Daines withdrew minutes before the March filing deadline explain the 78.5 percent trader consensus on a Republican winner. Alme secured endorsements from President Trump and the state's congressional delegation, while minor primary challengers have not altered the trajectory ahead of the June 2 primaries. Independent Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president, captures 15.8 percent by drawing from potential opposition voters in early polling, whereas the Democratic primary field led by Reilly Neill shows limited statewide strength. These factors, set against Montana's partisan baseline, keep Democratic chances at just 2.2 percent.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা