Recent district polls in conservative strongholds have positioned the People Power Party to capture three of the four or more National Assembly seats up for by-election on June 3. Leads in areas such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap, combined with tightening contests in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have lifted expectations for a third competitive win despite the party’s single-digit national approval ratings. Candidate nominations finalized in early May further clarified the field and reinforced these localized advantages. Traders currently assign the highest implied probability to exactly three seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds assessing these regional dynamics ahead of the vote alongside nationwide local elections.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
3 47%
2 32%
1 20.4%
4 8.2%
$37,033 Vol.
$37,033 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
0
4%
1
13%
2
32%
3
47%
4
8%
5
2%
6+
1%
3 47%
2 32%
1 20.4%
4 8.2%
$37,033 Vol.
$37,033 Vol.
Jun 3, 2026
0
$4,446 Vol.
4%
1
$4,446 Vol.
13%
2
$11,219 Vol.
32%
3
$5,541 Vol.
47%
4
$4,573 Vol.
8%
5
$2,424 Vol.
2%
6+
$4,384 Vol.
1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Recent district polls in conservative strongholds have positioned the People Power Party to capture three of the four or more National Assembly seats up for by-election on June 3. Leads in areas such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap, combined with tightening contests in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have lifted expectations for a third competitive win despite the party’s single-digit national approval ratings. Candidate nominations finalized in early May further clarified the field and reinforced these localized advantages. Traders currently assign the highest implied probability to exactly three seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds assessing these regional dynamics ahead of the vote alongside nationwide local elections.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
ভলিউম
$37,033শেষ তারিখ
Jun 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Recent district polls in conservative strongholds have positioned the People Power Party to capture three of the four or more National Assembly seats up for by-election on June 3. Leads in areas such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap, combined with tightening contests in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have lifted expectations for a third competitive win despite the party’s single-digit national approval ratings. Candidate nominations finalized in early May further clarified the field and reinforced these localized advantages. Traders currently assign the highest implied probability to exactly three seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds assessing these regional dynamics ahead of the vote alongside nationwide local elections.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
ভলিউম
$37,033শেষ তারিখ
Jun 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent district polls in conservative strongholds have positioned the People Power Party to capture three of the four or more National Assembly seats up for by-election on June 3. Leads in areas such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap, combined with tightening contests in Busan Buk-gu Gap, have lifted expectations for a third competitive win despite the party’s single-digit national approval ratings. Candidate nominations finalized in early May further clarified the field and reinforced these localized advantages. Traders currently assign the highest implied probability to exactly three seats, reflecting the wisdom of crowds assessing these regional dynamics ahead of the vote alongside nationwide local elections.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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