China's central bank has maintained its benchmark one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% for over a year amid resilient first-half 2026 growth and stable interbank liquidity, reducing immediate pressure for broad adjustments before September. Traders see balanced risks from moderating industrial output and retail sales data alongside persistent policy signals favoring targeted liquidity tools over benchmark shifts. A moderately loose stance leaves room for reserve requirement ratio adjustments or rate moves later in the year, yet upbeat GDP readings and external factors such as trade dynamics and global central bank paths keep the probability of any change versus stability closely contested. Upcoming quarterly data releases and PBOC communications through mid-year could shift the balance by clarifying whether easing or tightening becomes warranted.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPeople's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
No Change 74%
Decrease 26%
Increase 24%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
Increase
24%
No Change
74%
Decrease
26%
No Change 74%
Decrease 26%
Increase 24%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 30, 2026
Increase
$0 Vol.
24%
No Change
$36 Vol.
74%
Decrease
$26 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.China's central bank has maintained its benchmark one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% for over a year amid resilient first-half 2026 growth and stable interbank liquidity, reducing immediate pressure for broad adjustments before September. Traders see balanced risks from moderating industrial output and retail sales data alongside persistent policy signals favoring targeted liquidity tools over benchmark shifts. A moderately loose stance leaves room for reserve requirement ratio adjustments or rate moves later in the year, yet upbeat GDP readings and external factors such as trade dynamics and global central bank paths keep the probability of any change versus stability closely contested. Upcoming quarterly data releases and PBOC communications through mid-year could shift the balance by clarifying whether easing or tightening becomes warranted.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$62শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.China's central bank has maintained its benchmark one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% for over a year amid resilient first-half 2026 growth and stable interbank liquidity, reducing immediate pressure for broad adjustments before September. Traders see balanced risks from moderating industrial output and retail sales data alongside persistent policy signals favoring targeted liquidity tools over benchmark shifts. A moderately loose stance leaves room for reserve requirement ratio adjustments or rate moves later in the year, yet upbeat GDP readings and external factors such as trade dynamics and global central bank paths keep the probability of any change versus stability closely contested. Upcoming quarterly data releases and PBOC communications through mid-year could shift the balance by clarifying whether easing or tightening becomes warranted.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ভলিউম
$62শেষ তারিখ
Sep 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...China's central bank has maintained its benchmark one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% for over a year amid resilient first-half 2026 growth and stable interbank liquidity, reducing immediate pressure for broad adjustments before September. Traders see balanced risks from moderating industrial output and retail sales data alongside persistent policy signals favoring targeted liquidity tools over benchmark shifts. A moderately loose stance leaves room for reserve requirement ratio adjustments or rate moves later in the year, yet upbeat GDP readings and external factors such as trade dynamics and global central bank paths keep the probability of any change versus stability closely contested. Upcoming quarterly data releases and PBOC communications through mid-year could shift the balance by clarifying whether easing or tightening becomes warranted.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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