Recent August 2026 polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead at 30-31% among decided voters, ahead of the PLQ at 24-27% and the governing CAQ at 13-20%, with particular strength among francophone voters and seat projections favoring a PQ majority in the National Assembly. The CAQ has declined sharply following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, while the PLQ shows modest gains but trails in key projections. These trends align with the market's 71% implied probability for a PQ victory on October 5, 2026, reflecting trader assessments of current voting intentions and historical patterns in Quebec provincial races where early polling leads often translate to seat advantages under the first-past-the-post system. Minor parties remain below 15% combined.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডকুইবেক সাধারণ নির্বাচনের বিজয়ী
কুইবেক সাধারণ নির্বাচনের বিজয়ী
পি.কিউ. 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
পিসকিউ <1%
$762,988 Vol.
$762,988 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
পি.কিউ.
71%
PLQ
15%
CAQ
15%
পিসকিউ
<1%
কিউএস
<1%
পিভিকিউ
<1%
পি.কিউ. 71%
PLQ 15%
CAQ 15%
পিসকিউ <1%
$762,988 Vol.
$762,988 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
পি.কিউ.
$82,900 Vol.
71%
PLQ
$102,416 Vol.
15%
CAQ
$109,138 Vol.
15%
পিসকিউ
$209,420 Vol.
<1%
কিউএস
$101,615 Vol.
<1%
পিভিকিউ
$157,498 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent August 2026 polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead at 30-31% among decided voters, ahead of the PLQ at 24-27% and the governing CAQ at 13-20%, with particular strength among francophone voters and seat projections favoring a PQ majority in the National Assembly. The CAQ has declined sharply following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, while the PLQ shows modest gains but trails in key projections. These trends align with the market's 71% implied probability for a PQ victory on October 5, 2026, reflecting trader assessments of current voting intentions and historical patterns in Quebec provincial races where early polling leads often translate to seat advantages under the first-past-the-post system. Minor parties remain below 15% combined.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$762,988শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent August 2026 polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead at 30-31% among decided voters, ahead of the PLQ at 24-27% and the governing CAQ at 13-20%, with particular strength among francophone voters and seat projections favoring a PQ majority in the National Assembly. The CAQ has declined sharply following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, while the PLQ shows modest gains but trails in key projections. These trends align with the market's 71% implied probability for a PQ victory on October 5, 2026, reflecting trader assessments of current voting intentions and historical patterns in Quebec provincial races where early polling leads often translate to seat advantages under the first-past-the-post system. Minor parties remain below 15% combined.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ভলিউম
$762,988শেষ তারিখ
Oct 5, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent August 2026 polls from Léger and Pallas Data show the Parti Québécois maintaining a consistent lead at 30-31% among decided voters, ahead of the PLQ at 24-27% and the governing CAQ at 13-20%, with particular strength among francophone voters and seat projections favoring a PQ majority in the National Assembly. The CAQ has declined sharply following its leadership transition to Christine Fréchette, while the PLQ shows modest gains but trails in key projections. These trends align with the market's 71% implied probability for a PQ victory on October 5, 2026, reflecting trader assessments of current voting intentions and historical patterns in Quebec provincial races where early polling leads often translate to seat advantages under the first-past-the-post system. Minor parties remain below 15% combined.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
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