**Putin’s regime maintains firm control through intensified repression, expanded security services, and elite consolidation amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict.** Despite economic strains from Ukrainian drone strikes on energy infrastructure, public criticism from some military bloggers, and elite impatience over the war’s costs, analysts note no organized faction or mechanism capable of mounting a coup attempt. Historical patterns show most Russian leaders exit via natural causes rather than internal overthrow, while post-2023 purges and loyalty enforcement have reduced open dissent. Upcoming State Duma elections and Putin’s recent statements projecting battlefield progress further signal continuity. Traders price the 94.5% “No” outcome on these structural barriers and the absence of triggering events in 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড6% সম্ভাবনা
$129,273 Vol.
$129,273 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
6% সম্ভাবনা
$129,273 Vol.
$129,273 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Putin’s regime maintains firm control through intensified repression, expanded security services, and elite consolidation amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict.** Despite economic strains from Ukrainian drone strikes on energy infrastructure, public criticism from some military bloggers, and elite impatience over the war’s costs, analysts note no organized faction or mechanism capable of mounting a coup attempt. Historical patterns show most Russian leaders exit via natural causes rather than internal overthrow, while post-2023 purges and loyalty enforcement have reduced open dissent. Upcoming State Duma elections and Putin’s recent statements projecting battlefield progress further signal continuity. Traders price the 94.5% “No” outcome on these structural barriers and the absence of triggering events in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
ভলিউম
$129,273শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Putin’s regime maintains firm control through intensified repression, expanded security services, and elite consolidation amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict.** Despite economic strains from Ukrainian drone strikes on energy infrastructure, public criticism from some military bloggers, and elite impatience over the war’s costs, analysts note no organized faction or mechanism capable of mounting a coup attempt. Historical patterns show most Russian leaders exit via natural causes rather than internal overthrow, while post-2023 purges and loyalty enforcement have reduced open dissent. Upcoming State Duma elections and Putin’s recent statements projecting battlefield progress further signal continuity. Traders price the 94.5% “No” outcome on these structural barriers and the absence of triggering events in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$129,273শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...**Putin’s regime maintains firm control through intensified repression, expanded security services, and elite consolidation amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict.** Despite economic strains from Ukrainian drone strikes on energy infrastructure, public criticism from some military bloggers, and elite impatience over the war’s costs, analysts note no organized faction or mechanism capable of mounting a coup attempt. Historical patterns show most Russian leaders exit via natural causes rather than internal overthrow, while post-2023 purges and loyalty enforcement have reduced open dissent. Upcoming State Duma elections and Putin’s recent statements projecting battlefield progress further signal continuity. Traders price the 94.5% “No” outcome on these structural barriers and the absence of triggering events in 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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