South Africa’s 2026 annual inflation rate—measured as the calendar-year average CPI—sits near the center of trader attention, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 4.1-4.7% range. Recent data show headline inflation accelerating to 5.0% year-on-year in June 2026 from 4.5% in May, the highest since mid-2024, driven by a 34% surge in fuel prices tied to the Iran conflict and secondary effects in transport and housing costs. Core inflation has also risen to 4.1%, signaling broader pressures, while the South African Reserve Bank’s earlier 4.4% forecast for the year now faces upside risks from energy volatility. With roughly four months of elevated prints already in the books and July data imminent, traders appear to weigh the potential for oil-price stabilization and base effects against persistent services inflation above the new 3% target. This produces competitive pricing between the adjacent 4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7% bins, reflecting uncertainty over whether moderating global energy prices can offset domestic momentum before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
4.1-4.4% 29.6%
4.4-4.7% 22.1%
3.8-4.1% 15.2%
4.7-5.0% 9.2%
$39,694 Vol.
$39,694 Vol.
Jan 20, 2027
<2.6%
<1%
2.6-2.9%
<1%
2.9-3.2%
4%
3.2-3.5%
3%
3.5-3.8%
4%
3.8-4.1%
15%
4.1-4.4%
30%
4.4-4.7%
22%
4.7-5.0%
9%
>5.0%
9%
4.1-4.4% 29.6%
4.4-4.7% 22.1%
3.8-4.1% 15.2%
4.7-5.0% 9.2%
$39,694 Vol.
$39,694 Vol.
Jan 20, 2027
<2.6%
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
2.6-2.9%
$1,854 Vol.
<1%
2.9-3.2%
$1,564 Vol.
4%
3.2-3.5%
$1,245 Vol.
3%
3.5-3.8%
$1,798 Vol.
4%
3.8-4.1%
$2,975 Vol.
15%
4.1-4.4%
$2,590 Vol.
30%
4.4-4.7%
$14,940 Vol.
22%
4.7-5.0%
$3,272 Vol.
9%
>5.0%
$8,236 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 annual inflation rate—measured as the calendar-year average CPI—sits near the center of trader attention, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 4.1-4.7% range. Recent data show headline inflation accelerating to 5.0% year-on-year in June 2026 from 4.5% in May, the highest since mid-2024, driven by a 34% surge in fuel prices tied to the Iran conflict and secondary effects in transport and housing costs. Core inflation has also risen to 4.1%, signaling broader pressures, while the South African Reserve Bank’s earlier 4.4% forecast for the year now faces upside risks from energy volatility. With roughly four months of elevated prints already in the books and July data imminent, traders appear to weigh the potential for oil-price stabilization and base effects against persistent services inflation above the new 3% target. This produces competitive pricing between the adjacent 4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7% bins, reflecting uncertainty over whether moderating global energy prices can offset domestic momentum before year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$39,694শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 annual inflation rate—measured as the calendar-year average CPI—sits near the center of trader attention, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 4.1-4.7% range. Recent data show headline inflation accelerating to 5.0% year-on-year in June 2026 from 4.5% in May, the highest since mid-2024, driven by a 34% surge in fuel prices tied to the Iran conflict and secondary effects in transport and housing costs. Core inflation has also risen to 4.1%, signaling broader pressures, while the South African Reserve Bank’s earlier 4.4% forecast for the year now faces upside risks from energy volatility. With roughly four months of elevated prints already in the books and July data imminent, traders appear to weigh the potential for oil-price stabilization and base effects against persistent services inflation above the new 3% target. This produces competitive pricing between the adjacent 4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7% bins, reflecting uncertainty over whether moderating global energy prices can offset domestic momentum before year-end.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
ভলিউম
$39,694শেষ তারিখ
Jan 20, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa’s 2026 annual inflation rate—measured as the calendar-year average CPI—sits near the center of trader attention, with market-implied odds clustering tightly around the 4.1-4.7% range. Recent data show headline inflation accelerating to 5.0% year-on-year in June 2026 from 4.5% in May, the highest since mid-2024, driven by a 34% surge in fuel prices tied to the Iran conflict and secondary effects in transport and housing costs. Core inflation has also risen to 4.1%, signaling broader pressures, while the South African Reserve Bank’s earlier 4.4% forecast for the year now faces upside risks from energy volatility. With roughly four months of elevated prints already in the books and July data imminent, traders appear to weigh the potential for oil-price stabilization and base effects against persistent services inflation above the new 3% target. This produces competitive pricing between the adjacent 4.1-4.4% and 4.4-4.7% bins, reflecting uncertainty over whether moderating global energy prices can offset domestic momentum before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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