Strong semiconductor exports and the Bank of Korea’s 3.6 percent year-over-year Q1 2026 GDP print—the strongest pace in five years—have anchored trader sentiment near the 3.5–4.4 percent range for Q2, with those two outcomes commanding roughly equal implied probabilities around 50 percent each. AI-driven chip demand and April’s sharp trade rebound continue to support upside momentum, while softer domestic consumption, modest April employment gains, and 2.6 percent inflation highlight risks of a sequential slowdown. Institutional forecasts for full-year growth cluster between 2.5 and 2.8 percent after recent upward revisions, reflecting both fiscal support and lingering headwinds from Middle East energy disruptions. Market participants are now focused on May trade data and global tech orders ahead of the July 28 advance GDP release, which will clarify whether the current split between mid-3 percent and mid-4 percent outcomes persists.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডSouth Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q2 2026?
3.0–3.4% 43%
2.5–2.9% 36.5%
2.0–2.4% 21%
<1.5% 19.1%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 23, 2026
<1.5%
19%
1.5–1.9%
23%
2.0–2.4%
21%
2.5–2.9%
37%
3.0–3.4%
24%
3.5–3.9%
57%
4.0–4.4%
51%
4.5%+
25%
3.0–3.4% 43%
2.5–2.9% 36.5%
2.0–2.4% 21%
<1.5% 19.1%
নতুন
নতুন
Jul 23, 2026
<1.5%
$278 Vol.
19%
1.5–1.9%
$184 Vol.
23%
2.0–2.4%
$351 Vol.
21%
2.5–2.9%
$161 Vol.
37%
3.0–3.4%
$154 Vol.
24%
3.5–3.9%
$319 Vol.
57%
4.0–4.4%
$276 Vol.
51%
4.5%+
$238 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Strong semiconductor exports and the Bank of Korea’s 3.6 percent year-over-year Q1 2026 GDP print—the strongest pace in five years—have anchored trader sentiment near the 3.5–4.4 percent range for Q2, with those two outcomes commanding roughly equal implied probabilities around 50 percent each. AI-driven chip demand and April’s sharp trade rebound continue to support upside momentum, while softer domestic consumption, modest April employment gains, and 2.6 percent inflation highlight risks of a sequential slowdown. Institutional forecasts for full-year growth cluster between 2.5 and 2.8 percent after recent upward revisions, reflecting both fiscal support and lingering headwinds from Middle East energy disruptions. Market participants are now focused on May trade data and global tech orders ahead of the July 28 advance GDP release, which will clarify whether the current split between mid-3 percent and mid-4 percent outcomes persists.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,961শেষ তারিখ
Jul 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Strong semiconductor exports and the Bank of Korea’s 3.6 percent year-over-year Q1 2026 GDP print—the strongest pace in five years—have anchored trader sentiment near the 3.5–4.4 percent range for Q2, with those two outcomes commanding roughly equal implied probabilities around 50 percent each. AI-driven chip demand and April’s sharp trade rebound continue to support upside momentum, while softer domestic consumption, modest April employment gains, and 2.6 percent inflation highlight risks of a sequential slowdown. Institutional forecasts for full-year growth cluster between 2.5 and 2.8 percent after recent upward revisions, reflecting both fiscal support and lingering headwinds from Middle East energy disruptions. Market participants are now focused on May trade data and global tech orders ahead of the July 28 advance GDP release, which will clarify whether the current split between mid-3 percent and mid-4 percent outcomes persists.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the second quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the second quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on July 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
ভলিউম
$1,961শেষ তারিখ
Jul 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong semiconductor exports and the Bank of Korea’s 3.6 percent year-over-year Q1 2026 GDP print—the strongest pace in five years—have anchored trader sentiment near the 3.5–4.4 percent range for Q2, with those two outcomes commanding roughly equal implied probabilities around 50 percent each. AI-driven chip demand and April’s sharp trade rebound continue to support upside momentum, while softer domestic consumption, modest April employment gains, and 2.6 percent inflation highlight risks of a sequential slowdown. Institutional forecasts for full-year growth cluster between 2.5 and 2.8 percent after recent upward revisions, reflecting both fiscal support and lingering headwinds from Middle East energy disruptions. Market participants are now focused on May trade data and global tech orders ahead of the July 28 advance GDP release, which will clarify whether the current split between mid-3 percent and mid-4 percent outcomes persists.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা