Moonshot AI’s rapid advances in agentic capabilities, including the July 2026 release of its 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 model with native support for up to 300 parallel sub-agents via Agent Swarm, a 1-million-token context window, and the Kimi Work desktop application for local file and browser automation, have driven strong trader consensus around its third-place positioning. These features have delivered competitive results on coding and multi-step benchmarks relative to frontier U.S. labs, alongside recent availability on Amazon Bedrock and finance-specific data integrations announced in mid-September. With resolution imminent at month-end, the 85.5% market-implied odds reflect Moonshot’s demonstrated edge in scalable agent orchestration over lower-odds contenders such as Z.ai, Meta, or DeepSeek, whose recent agent updates have not matched this pace.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMoonshot 85.5%
Z.ai 5.4%
DeepSeek 4.8%
Mistral 4.3%
$54,084 Vol.
$54,084 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Moonshot
86%
Z.ai
5%
DeepSeek
5%
Mistral
4%
Meta
4%
3%
OpenAI
3%
SpaceXAI
3%
Alibaba
2%
Anthropic
2%
Nvidia
1%
Amazon
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Baidu
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Moonshot 85.5%
Z.ai 5.4%
DeepSeek 4.8%
Mistral 4.3%
$54,084 Vol.
$54,084 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Moonshot
$34,484 Vol.
86%
Z.ai
$2,807 Vol.
5%
DeepSeek
$471 Vol.
5%
Mistral
$610 Vol.
4%
Meta
$409 Vol.
4%
$482 Vol.
3%
OpenAI
$7,320 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$584 Vol.
3%
Alibaba
$1,087 Vol.
2%
Anthropic
$2,459 Vol.
2%
Nvidia
$470 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$414 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$388 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$609 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$373 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$393 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$408 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI’s rapid advances in agentic capabilities, including the July 2026 release of its 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 model with native support for up to 300 parallel sub-agents via Agent Swarm, a 1-million-token context window, and the Kimi Work desktop application for local file and browser automation, have driven strong trader consensus around its third-place positioning. These features have delivered competitive results on coding and multi-step benchmarks relative to frontier U.S. labs, alongside recent availability on Amazon Bedrock and finance-specific data integrations announced in mid-September. With resolution imminent at month-end, the 85.5% market-implied odds reflect Moonshot’s demonstrated edge in scalable agent orchestration over lower-odds contenders such as Z.ai, Meta, or DeepSeek, whose recent agent updates have not matched this pace.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
ভলিউম
$54,084শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI’s rapid advances in agentic capabilities, including the July 2026 release of its 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 model with native support for up to 300 parallel sub-agents via Agent Swarm, a 1-million-token context window, and the Kimi Work desktop application for local file and browser automation, have driven strong trader consensus around its third-place positioning. These features have delivered competitive results on coding and multi-step benchmarks relative to frontier U.S. labs, alongside recent availability on Amazon Bedrock and finance-specific data integrations announced in mid-September. With resolution imminent at month-end, the 85.5% market-implied odds reflect Moonshot’s demonstrated edge in scalable agent orchestration over lower-odds contenders such as Z.ai, Meta, or DeepSeek, whose recent agent updates have not matched this pace.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$54,084শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot AI’s rapid advances in agentic capabilities, including the July 2026 release of its 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 model with native support for up to 300 parallel sub-agents via Agent Swarm, a 1-million-token context window, and the Kimi Work desktop application for local file and browser automation, have driven strong trader consensus around its third-place positioning. These features have delivered competitive results on coding and multi-step benchmarks relative to frontier U.S. labs, alongside recent availability on Amazon Bedrock and finance-specific data integrations announced in mid-September. With resolution imminent at month-end, the 85.5% market-implied odds reflect Moonshot’s demonstrated edge in scalable agent orchestration over lower-odds contenders such as Z.ai, Meta, or DeepSeek, whose recent agent updates have not matched this pace.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা