The preliminary June 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 48.9, released June 12 and exceeding consensus estimates near 46, has anchored trader positioning around the 46.0–48.9 and 49.0–51.9 bins for the final print due June 26. Early-month declines in gasoline prices delivered broad-based relief, particularly for lower-income households, lifting both the current conditions and expectations components while nudging one-year inflation expectations modestly lower to 4.6%. Persistent cost-of-living pressures and year-over-year weakness—still 19% below June 2025 levels—continue to cap upside, with labor-market softening and elevated short-term inflation concerns acting as offsetting drags. Market-implied odds reflect the typical limited revision between preliminary and final releases alongside uncertainty over any further energy-price volatility or incoming data ahead of the June 26 close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড46.0–48.9 43%
49.0–51.9 36.6%
40.0–42.9 7.1%
<40.0 6.5%
$114,321 Vol.
$114,321 Vol.
<40.0
6%
40.0–42.9
7%
43.0–45.9
5%
46.0–48.9
43%
49.0–51.9
37%
52.0–54.9
1%
≥55.0
<1%
46.0–48.9 43%
49.0–51.9 36.6%
40.0–42.9 7.1%
<40.0 6.5%
$114,321 Vol.
$114,321 Vol.
<40.0
6%
40.0–42.9
7%
43.0–45.9
5%
46.0–48.9
43%
49.0–51.9
37%
52.0–54.9
1%
≥55.0
<1%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 29, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for June 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for June 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on June 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary June 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 48.9, released June 12 and exceeding consensus estimates near 46, has anchored trader positioning around the 46.0–48.9 and 49.0–51.9 bins for the final print due June 26. Early-month declines in gasoline prices delivered broad-based relief, particularly for lower-income households, lifting both the current conditions and expectations components while nudging one-year inflation expectations modestly lower to 4.6%. Persistent cost-of-living pressures and year-over-year weakness—still 19% below June 2025 levels—continue to cap upside, with labor-market softening and elevated short-term inflation concerns acting as offsetting drags. Market-implied odds reflect the typical limited revision between preliminary and final releases alongside uncertainty over any further energy-price volatility or incoming data ahead of the June 26 close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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