OpenAI’s September launch of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the top spot on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 score ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, drives the 76.5% market-implied odds for the company. This agentic coding benchmark evaluates multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative frontend tasks such as image-to-webdev workflows, where recent OpenAI gains in efficiency and capability have outpaced rivals. Anthropic holds 23% odds on the strength of its prior Claude Opus and Fable variants, while lower probabilities for Google, Alibaba’s Qwen, Moonshot’s Kimi, and others reflect their competitive but trailing positions on the same crowdsourced Elo-style rankings. With resolution at month-end, any new model drops or benchmark shifts in the next two weeks remain the key swing factors.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডOpenAI 76.6%
Anthropic 23%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
$145,653 Vol.
$145,653 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
77%
Anthropic
23%
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 76.6%
Anthropic 23%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
$145,653 Vol.
$145,653 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
$28,171 Vol.
77%
Anthropic
$60,204 Vol.
23%
$5,643 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$8,558 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$20,259 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$4,801 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$6,591 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$3,137 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,246 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$657 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$560 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$571 Vol.
<1%
Poolside
$641 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$789 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September launch of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the top spot on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 score ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, drives the 76.5% market-implied odds for the company. This agentic coding benchmark evaluates multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative frontend tasks such as image-to-webdev workflows, where recent OpenAI gains in efficiency and capability have outpaced rivals. Anthropic holds 23% odds on the strength of its prior Claude Opus and Fable variants, while lower probabilities for Google, Alibaba’s Qwen, Moonshot’s Kimi, and others reflect their competitive but trailing positions on the same crowdsourced Elo-style rankings. With resolution at month-end, any new model drops or benchmark shifts in the next two weeks remain the key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
ভলিউম
$145,653শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September launch of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the top spot on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 score ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, drives the 76.5% market-implied odds for the company. This agentic coding benchmark evaluates multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative frontend tasks such as image-to-webdev workflows, where recent OpenAI gains in efficiency and capability have outpaced rivals. Anthropic holds 23% odds on the strength of its prior Claude Opus and Fable variants, while lower probabilities for Google, Alibaba’s Qwen, Moonshot’s Kimi, and others reflect their competitive but trailing positions on the same crowdsourced Elo-style rankings. With resolution at month-end, any new model drops or benchmark shifts in the next two weeks remain the key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$145,653শেষ তারিখ
Oct 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September launch of GPT-6 Astra, which quickly claimed the top spot on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard with a 1,797 score ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1, drives the 76.5% market-implied odds for the company. This agentic coding benchmark evaluates multi-step reasoning, tool use, and iterative frontend tasks such as image-to-webdev workflows, where recent OpenAI gains in efficiency and capability have outpaced rivals. Anthropic holds 23% odds on the strength of its prior Claude Opus and Fable variants, while lower probabilities for Google, Alibaba’s Qwen, Moonshot’s Kimi, and others reflect their competitive but trailing positions on the same crowdsourced Elo-style rankings. With resolution at month-end, any new model drops or benchmark shifts in the next two weeks remain the key swing factors.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা