The Democratic primary for New York’s 12th congressional district on June 23 features a tight contest between Assembly members Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, with trader odds reflecting their near-even positioning amid a crowded field. Bores, representing the Upper East Side, has drawn support through his emphasis on AI regulation and related policy positions, while Lasher benefits from establishment backing including an endorsement from retiring Representative Jerry Nadler and substantial outside spending. Jack Schlossberg’s name recognition and appeal to younger voters provide a third option but have not closed the gap. The race’s balance stems from Manhattan’s longstanding East-West political divide, high-profile fundraising, and projections that older voters will comprise the majority of primary turnout. Remaining candidate forums and final ad campaigns could clarify voter preferences before ballots are cast.