President Trump’s appointment of Bill Pulte as acting director of national intelligence following Tulsi Gabbard’s resignation has kept the permanent nomination process open, with the White House actively interviewing candidates for the Senate-confirmed role. This timeline uncertainty underpins the leading 26.9% probability on no announcement by year-end. Among listed contenders, John Ratcliffe’s prior service as DNI and current CIA leadership provide institutional familiarity that distinguishes him from other names such as Elise Stefanik, Richard Grenell, and Devin Nunes, whose profiles emphasize political alignment over intelligence community experience. Confirmation dynamics, including Senate vote thresholds and competing administration priorities, continue to shape trader assessments of which profile advances.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWho will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?
No announcement by December 31 26.9%
Aaron Lukas 12%
Elise Stefanik 11%
Michael Ellis 8.8%
$79,514 Vol.
$79,514 Vol.
No announcement by December 31
27%
Aaron Lukas
12%
Elise Stefanik
11%
Michael Ellis
9%
John Ratcliffe
15%
Devin Nunes
7%
Chris Stewart
6%
Tom Cotton
6%
Mike Flynn
5%
Richard Grenell
7%
John Eisenberg
5%
Sebastian Gorka
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
4%
Stephen Miller
3%
Derek Harvey
3%
Robert O’Brien
3%
Kash Patel
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
Stacey Dixon
<1%
No announcement by December 31 26.9%
Aaron Lukas 12%
Elise Stefanik 11%
Michael Ellis 8.8%
$79,514 Vol.
$79,514 Vol.
No announcement by December 31
27%
Aaron Lukas
12%
Elise Stefanik
11%
Michael Ellis
9%
John Ratcliffe
15%
Devin Nunes
7%
Chris Stewart
6%
Tom Cotton
6%
Mike Flynn
5%
Richard Grenell
7%
John Eisenberg
5%
Sebastian Gorka
5%
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
4%
Stephen Miller
3%
Derek Harvey
3%
Robert O’Brien
3%
Kash Patel
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
Stacey Dixon
<1%
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 22, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Director of National Intelligence will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Director of National Intelligence. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify.
Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Director of National Intelligence will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump’s appointment of Bill Pulte as acting director of national intelligence following Tulsi Gabbard’s resignation has kept the permanent nomination process open, with the White House actively interviewing candidates for the Senate-confirmed role. This timeline uncertainty underpins the leading 26.9% probability on no announcement by year-end. Among listed contenders, John Ratcliffe’s prior service as DNI and current CIA leadership provide institutional familiarity that distinguishes him from other names such as Elise Stefanik, Richard Grenell, and Devin Nunes, whose profiles emphasize political alignment over intelligence community experience. Confirmation dynamics, including Senate vote thresholds and competing administration priorities, continue to shape trader assessments of which profile advances.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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