Ongoing diplomatic deadlock over Iran's uranium enrichment program underpins the 75% implied probability of no US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30. Iranian officials, including the foreign minister, have publicly described recent talks as stalled, rejecting US demands for permanent limits on enrichment and robust verification measures. Proposals exchanged through Omani and Pakistani mediators have addressed related issues such as Strait of Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief but failed to resolve core nuclear red lines, following earlier 2026 military actions and a holding ceasefire. US statements stress that any agreement requires verifiable curbs before sanctions adjustments, while Iran's position maintains enrichment rights for civilian purposes. With the deadline weeks away and no imminent breakthrough evident, trader consensus aligns with these entrenched positions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড৩০ জুনের মধ্যে ইউএস-ইরান পারমাণবিক চুক্তি?
৩০ জুনের মধ্যে ইউএস-ইরান পারমাণবিক চুক্তি?
হ্যাঁ
$1,855,642 Vol.
$1,855,642 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$1,855,642 Vol.
$1,855,642 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing diplomatic deadlock over Iran's uranium enrichment program underpins the 75% implied probability of no US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30. Iranian officials, including the foreign minister, have publicly described recent talks as stalled, rejecting US demands for permanent limits on enrichment and robust verification measures. Proposals exchanged through Omani and Pakistani mediators have addressed related issues such as Strait of Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief but failed to resolve core nuclear red lines, following earlier 2026 military actions and a holding ceasefire. US statements stress that any agreement requires verifiable curbs before sanctions adjustments, while Iran's position maintains enrichment rights for civilian purposes. With the deadline weeks away and no imminent breakthrough evident, trader consensus aligns with these entrenched positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,855,642শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing diplomatic deadlock over Iran's uranium enrichment program underpins the 75% implied probability of no US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30. Iranian officials, including the foreign minister, have publicly described recent talks as stalled, rejecting US demands for permanent limits on enrichment and robust verification measures. Proposals exchanged through Omani and Pakistani mediators have addressed related issues such as Strait of Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief but failed to resolve core nuclear red lines, following earlier 2026 military actions and a holding ceasefire. US statements stress that any agreement requires verifiable curbs before sanctions adjustments, while Iran's position maintains enrichment rights for civilian purposes. With the deadline weeks away and no imminent breakthrough evident, trader consensus aligns with these entrenched positions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ভলিউম
$1,855,642শেষ তারিখ
Jun 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic deadlock over Iran's uranium enrichment program underpins the 75% implied probability of no US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30. Iranian officials, including the foreign minister, have publicly described recent talks as stalled, rejecting US demands for permanent limits on enrichment and robust verification measures. Proposals exchanged through Omani and Pakistani mediators have addressed related issues such as Strait of Hormuz navigation and sanctions relief but failed to resolve core nuclear red lines, following earlier 2026 military actions and a holding ceasefire. US statements stress that any agreement requires verifiable curbs before sanctions adjustments, while Iran's position maintains enrichment rights for civilian purposes. With the deadline weeks away and no imminent breakthrough evident, trader consensus aligns with these entrenched positions.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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