The UAE's exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, amid regional energy disruptions and a desire for greater production flexibility, has not triggered comparable moves by other members. Remaining producers, including Saudi Arabia, have continued coordinated output adjustments through August 2026 ministerial meetings, reaffirming voluntary cuts and a shared focus on market stability despite global supply volatility. No official announcements, quota disputes, or diplomatic signals point to additional departures in the balance of the year. Traders price the "no" outcome at 92.5% because the post-UAE group has demonstrated institutional continuity rather than fragmentation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
8% সম্ভাবনা
$160,131 Vol.
$160,131 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
8% সম্ভাবনা
$160,131 Vol.
$160,131 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE's exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, amid regional energy disruptions and a desire for greater production flexibility, has not triggered comparable moves by other members. Remaining producers, including Saudi Arabia, have continued coordinated output adjustments through August 2026 ministerial meetings, reaffirming voluntary cuts and a shared focus on market stability despite global supply volatility. No official announcements, quota disputes, or diplomatic signals point to additional departures in the balance of the year. Traders price the "no" outcome at 92.5% because the post-UAE group has demonstrated institutional continuity rather than fragmentation.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
ভলিউম
$160,131শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The UAE's exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, amid regional energy disruptions and a desire for greater production flexibility, has not triggered comparable moves by other members. Remaining producers, including Saudi Arabia, have continued coordinated output adjustments through August 2026 ministerial meetings, reaffirming voluntary cuts and a shared focus on market stability despite global supply volatility. No official announcements, quota disputes, or diplomatic signals point to additional departures in the balance of the year. Traders price the "no" outcome at 92.5% because the post-UAE group has demonstrated institutional continuity rather than fragmentation.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$160,131শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The UAE's exit from OPEC and OPEC+ effective May 1, 2026, amid regional energy disruptions and a desire for greater production flexibility, has not triggered comparable moves by other members. Remaining producers, including Saudi Arabia, have continued coordinated output adjustments through August 2026 ministerial meetings, reaffirming voluntary cuts and a shared focus on market stability despite global supply volatility. No official announcements, quota disputes, or diplomatic signals point to additional departures in the balance of the year. Traders price the "no" outcome at 92.5% because the post-UAE group has demonstrated institutional continuity rather than fragmentation.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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