Israeli military actions against Iran since the February 2026 outbreak of hostilities have centered on airstrikes and precision targeting of missile, air-defense, and leadership sites rather than ground incursions. Ground operations have remained confined to southern Lebanon against Hezbollah forces, with Israeli officials stating they will not join any U.S. ground efforts inside Iran. Iranian forces have publicly accelerated deployment of FPV drones to ground units and prepared defensive positions, yet no verified reports of Israeli troops operating on Iranian soil have emerged by mid-May. Diplomatic channels remain active, including U.S.-Iran talks and regional ceasefire monitoring, while both sides continue high-alert postures that could shift rapidly with any new escalation or breakthrough.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডইরানে ইজরায়েলের স্থল অভিযান নিশ্চিত করেছে...?
$1,203,798 Vol.
৩১ মে
8%
$1,203,798 Vol.
৩১ মে
8%
A "ground operation" is defined as a military operation that involves Israeli military ground forces conducting operations within Iranian territory.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving Israeli troops on the ground within the terrestrial territory of Iran will qualify.
Official confirmation by the Israeli military of personnel operating on the ground within Iranian territory during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Israeli military personnel operated on the ground within Iranian territory during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as the June 25, 2025, statement by IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Eyal Zamir confirmed that Israeli commando forces operated covertly on the ground inside Iran during the 12-day war.
Confirmations referring only to non-military Israeli intelligence activity, including operations by the Mossad or Shin Bet, as well as airstrikes, cyberattacks, standoff weapons, remote sabotage, or actions by proxies or third parties without Israeli military presence, will not alone qualify.
Incidents that would not alone suffice include the November 2025 Mossad statement indicating its agents were present during protests in Iran, or the July 31, 2024, assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, widely attributed to Mossad agents.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the Israeli military; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 31, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A "ground operation" is defined as a military operation that involves Israeli military ground forces conducting operations within Iranian territory.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving Israeli troops on the ground within the terrestrial territory of Iran will qualify.
Official confirmation by the Israeli military of personnel operating on the ground within Iranian territory during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Israeli military personnel operated on the ground within Iranian territory during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as the June 25, 2025, statement by IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Eyal Zamir confirmed that Israeli commando forces operated covertly on the ground inside Iran during the 12-day war.
Confirmations referring only to non-military Israeli intelligence activity, including operations by the Mossad or Shin Bet, as well as airstrikes, cyberattacks, standoff weapons, remote sabotage, or actions by proxies or third parties without Israeli military presence, will not alone qualify.
Incidents that would not alone suffice include the November 2025 Mossad statement indicating its agents were present during protests in Iran, or the July 31, 2024, assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, widely attributed to Mossad agents.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the Israeli military; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli military actions against Iran since the February 2026 outbreak of hostilities have centered on airstrikes and precision targeting of missile, air-defense, and leadership sites rather than ground incursions. Ground operations have remained confined to southern Lebanon against Hezbollah forces, with Israeli officials stating they will not join any U.S. ground efforts inside Iran. Iranian forces have publicly accelerated deployment of FPV drones to ground units and prepared defensive positions, yet no verified reports of Israeli troops operating on Iranian soil have emerged by mid-May. Diplomatic channels remain active, including U.S.-Iran talks and regional ceasefire monitoring, while both sides continue high-alert postures that could shift rapidly with any new escalation or breakthrough.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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