Iran’s nationwide internet blackout, imposed since late February 2026 amid military conflict with the United States and Israel, remains the central driver of trader positioning on restoration timelines. Iranian authorities have gradually expanded limited “Internet Pro” access to approved businesses, professors, researchers, and select professionals through a tiered system, while the general population continues facing near-total restrictions to the global network and reliance on the state-controlled National Information Network. Officials have tied any broader reopening to prevailing security conditions, with no fixed schedule announced and economic costs mounting daily. Recent statements from the communications ministry emphasize coordination challenges and external security considerations, leaving full restoration uncertain until de-escalation occurs. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to later-year outcomes, reflecting the interplay between ongoing geopolitical tensions and incremental domestic easing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডInternet Access restored in Iran by...?
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$494,803 Vol.
Mar 14, 2026
May 31
4%
June 30
14%
September 30
55%
December 31
77%
$494,803 Vol.
May 31
$89,239 Vol.
4%
June 30
$88,158 Vol.
14%
September 30
$2,553 Vol.
55%
December 31
$1,929 Vol.
77%
On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred must recover to at least 50% of the maximum recorded value for six consecutive hourly data points in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks. The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. Only the first of the six consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.Iran’s nationwide internet blackout, imposed since late February 2026 amid military conflict with the United States and Israel, remains the central driver of trader positioning on restoration timelines. Iranian authorities have gradually expanded limited “Internet Pro” access to approved businesses, professors, researchers, and select professionals through a tiered system, while the general population continues facing near-total restrictions to the global network and reliance on the state-controlled National Information Network. Officials have tied any broader reopening to prevailing security conditions, with no fixed schedule announced and economic costs mounting daily. Recent statements from the communications ministry emphasize coordination challenges and external security considerations, leaving full restoration uncertain until de-escalation occurs. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to later-year outcomes, reflecting the interplay between ongoing geopolitical tensions and incremental domestic easing.
On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 2, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$494,803শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 2, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred must recover to at least 50% of the maximum recorded value for six consecutive hourly data points in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks. The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. Only the first of the six consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.Iran’s nationwide internet blackout, imposed since late February 2026 amid military conflict with the United States and Israel, remains the central driver of trader positioning on restoration timelines. Iranian authorities have gradually expanded limited “Internet Pro” access to approved businesses, professors, researchers, and select professionals through a tiered system, while the general population continues facing near-total restrictions to the global network and reliance on the state-controlled National Information Network. Officials have tied any broader reopening to prevailing security conditions, with no fixed schedule announced and economic costs mounting daily. Recent statements from the communications ministry emphasize coordination challenges and external security considerations, leaving full restoration uncertain until de-escalation occurs. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to later-year outcomes, reflecting the interplay between ongoing geopolitical tensions and incremental domestic easing.
On February 28, 2026, a nationwide internet blackout began in Iran amid military engagement with the United States and Israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
For purposes of this market, internet access will be considered restored only if either of the following conditions is satisfied.
1. Internet access will be considered restored if there is a clear, broad, and unambiguous consensus of credible international reporting stating that general internet connectivity has been restored for a majority of people in Iran and across most common applications, and that such connectivity has been sustained for at least 24 consecutive hours. Reporting describing planned restorations, gradual easing, partial reconnection, access limited to specific regions, networks, user groups, or applications, or access restricted to filtered, throttled, or government-controlled networks will not qualify. The reporting must explicitly indicate that normal international internet access has materially resumed.
2. Alternatively, internet access will be considered restored only if both of the following requirements are met.
- According to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, the “Outage” annotation associated with the nationwide internet shutdown must cease to apply to newly published hourly data points for at least 24 consecutive hours in the “Traffic trends” chart for the last 4 weeks. During this same period, the same chart must show a clear increase in either Total bytes or HTTP bytes relative to the outage period, indicating a meaningful restoration of internet traffic. Only the first of the consecutive qualifying hourly data points must occur before the market’s resolution time. If necessary to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.
- In addition, NetBlocks must report that the Iranian national internet outage has been resolved, or must publish a clearly equivalent statement indicating that internet access has been restored for the majority of people and across applications. Reports describing only limited, partial, or localized connectivity; connectivity restricted to filtered or government-controlled networks; traffic increases that NetBlocks characterizes as attempts to generate a false or misleading narrative of restored connectivity, or similar reports, will not qualify, even if the Cloudflare threshold is met.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Cloudflare Radar (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d) data for Iran and public reporting from NetBlocks (https://netblocks.org/); however, a consensus of credible international reporting meeting the standards described above may also be used.
ভলিউম
$494,803শেষ তারিখ
Apr 30, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 2, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s nationwide internet blackout, imposed since late February 2026 amid military conflict with the United States and Israel, remains the central driver of trader positioning on restoration timelines. Iranian authorities have gradually expanded limited “Internet Pro” access to approved businesses, professors, researchers, and select professionals through a tiered system, while the general population continues facing near-total restrictions to the global network and reliance on the state-controlled National Information Network. Officials have tied any broader reopening to prevailing security conditions, with no fixed schedule announced and economic costs mounting daily. Recent statements from the communications ministry emphasize coordination challenges and external security considerations, leaving full restoration uncertain until de-escalation occurs. Traders therefore assign the highest probability to later-year outcomes, reflecting the interplay between ongoing geopolitical tensions and incremental domestic easing.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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