Recent rounds of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated by Oman and held in Geneva and Islamabad, have lifted trader expectations for an agreement by December 2026. President Trump has publicly backed proposals for a 20-year pause on uranium enrichment in exchange for sanctions relief and verification measures, following earlier US and Israeli strikes on Iranian facilities. US envoy Steve Witkoff recently submitted formal amendments addressing enrichment limits and stockpile reductions, with technical discussions scheduled in Vienna. These steps, combined with Iran's counteroffers and regional pressure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, underpin the 58% implied probability that a publicly announced deal will be reached before 2027, though missile program demands and verification disputes remain key hurdles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
$1,328,796 Vol.
$1,328,796 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
হ্যাঁ
$1,328,796 Vol.
$1,328,796 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent rounds of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated by Oman and held in Geneva and Islamabad, have lifted trader expectations for an agreement by December 2026. President Trump has publicly backed proposals for a 20-year pause on uranium enrichment in exchange for sanctions relief and verification measures, following earlier US and Israeli strikes on Iranian facilities. US envoy Steve Witkoff recently submitted formal amendments addressing enrichment limits and stockpile reductions, with technical discussions scheduled in Vienna. These steps, combined with Iran's counteroffers and regional pressure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, underpin the 58% implied probability that a publicly announced deal will be reached before 2027, though missile program demands and verification disputes remain key hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,328,796শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent rounds of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated by Oman and held in Geneva and Islamabad, have lifted trader expectations for an agreement by December 2026. President Trump has publicly backed proposals for a 20-year pause on uranium enrichment in exchange for sanctions relief and verification measures, following earlier US and Israeli strikes on Iranian facilities. US envoy Steve Witkoff recently submitted formal amendments addressing enrichment limits and stockpile reductions, with technical discussions scheduled in Vienna. These steps, combined with Iran's counteroffers and regional pressure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, underpin the 58% implied probability that a publicly announced deal will be reached before 2027, though missile program demands and verification disputes remain key hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ভলিউম
$1,328,796শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent rounds of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks, mediated by Oman and held in Geneva and Islamabad, have lifted trader expectations for an agreement by December 2026. President Trump has publicly backed proposals for a 20-year pause on uranium enrichment in exchange for sanctions relief and verification measures, following earlier US and Israeli strikes on Iranian facilities. US envoy Steve Witkoff recently submitted formal amendments addressing enrichment limits and stockpile reductions, with technical discussions scheduled in Vienna. These steps, combined with Iran's counteroffers and regional pressure to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, underpin the 58% implied probability that a publicly announced deal will be reached before 2027, though missile program demands and verification disputes remain key hurdles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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