Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round shows a fragmented field, with leading candidate Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact at roughly 35 to 44 percent and nearest rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing between 17 and 27 percent. No contender approaches the constitutional threshold of more than 50 percent plus one vote required for an outright victory, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This multi-candidate dynamic and the absence of any dominant front-runner have produced a trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability assigned to no outright first-round winner.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
$47,000 Vol.
$47,000 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$47,000 Vol.
$47,000 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round shows a fragmented field, with leading candidate Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact at roughly 35 to 44 percent and nearest rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing between 17 and 27 percent. No contender approaches the constitutional threshold of more than 50 percent plus one vote required for an outright victory, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This multi-candidate dynamic and the absence of any dominant front-runner have produced a trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability assigned to no outright first-round winner.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$47,000শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round shows a fragmented field, with leading candidate Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact at roughly 35 to 44 percent and nearest rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing between 17 and 27 percent. No contender approaches the constitutional threshold of more than 50 percent plus one vote required for an outright victory, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This multi-candidate dynamic and the absence of any dominant front-runner have produced a trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability assigned to no outright first-round winner.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
ভলিউম
$47,000শেষ তারিখ
May 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Recent polling for Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round shows a fragmented field, with leading candidate Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact at roughly 35 to 44 percent and nearest rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia trailing between 17 and 27 percent. No contender approaches the constitutional threshold of more than 50 percent plus one vote required for an outright victory, sustaining expectations of a June 21 runoff. This multi-candidate dynamic and the absence of any dominant front-runner have produced a trader consensus reflected in the 94.5 percent implied probability assigned to no outright first-round winner.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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