President Trump's executive order issuance has slowed since his most recent action on May 1, 2026—EO 14404 imposing sanctions on Cuban repression actors—following two April 30 orders promoting federal contracting efficiency and retirement savings via TrumpIRA.gov, leading traders to price low probabilities (1-19%) for dates through May 15 amid no White House announcements in the past two weeks. With 259 executive orders issued in his second term since January 2025, the wisdom-of-crowds consensus implies around 49% odds for later May dates like May 19-21, reflecting expectations of sporadic activity driven by policy deadlines, agency reviews, or foreign policy developments such as ongoing trade negotiations, though congressional dynamics could accelerate or delay further executive actions. Markets resolve based on official White House publication by the following day's 12:00 PM ET.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$41,178 Vol.
May 7
1%
May 8
1%
May 9
1%
May 10
1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
4%
May 13
1%
May 14
1%
May 15
19%
May 16
19%
May 17
20%
May 18
22%
May 19
49%
May 20
49%
May 21
49%
May 22
43%
May 23
49%
May 24
42%
May 25
49%
May 26
42%
May 27
49%
May 28
42%
May 29
42%
May 30
49%
May 31
49%
$41,178 Vol.
May 7
1%
May 8
1%
May 9
1%
May 10
1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
4%
May 13
1%
May 14
1%
May 15
19%
May 16
19%
May 17
20%
May 18
22%
May 19
49%
May 20
49%
May 21
49%
May 22
43%
May 23
49%
May 24
42%
May 25
49%
May 26
42%
May 27
49%
May 28
42%
May 29
42%
May 30
49%
May 31
49%
Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's executive order issuance has slowed since his most recent action on May 1, 2026—EO 14404 imposing sanctions on Cuban repression actors—following two April 30 orders promoting federal contracting efficiency and retirement savings via TrumpIRA.gov, leading traders to price low probabilities (1-19%) for dates through May 15 amid no White House announcements in the past two weeks. With 259 executive orders issued in his second term since January 2025, the wisdom-of-crowds consensus implies around 49% odds for later May dates like May 19-21, reflecting expectations of sporadic activity driven by policy deadlines, agency reviews, or foreign policy developments such as ongoing trade negotiations, though congressional dynamics could accelerate or delay further executive actions. Markets resolve based on official White House publication by the following day's 12:00 PM ET.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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