Breaking World News & Predictions

Jan 12, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

84%
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40%
2
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

25%
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26%
3
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?

Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?

30%
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16%
4
Will Luís Marques Mendes win less than 16% of votes in the first round?

Will Luís Marques Mendes win less than 16% of votes in the first round?

26%
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12%
5
Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?
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Odds of Khamenei out by January 31 over 30% on Sunday?

0%
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10%
6
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

70%
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10%
7
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

54%
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10%
8
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?

68%
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9%
9
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?

Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026?

63%
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9%
10
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?

Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?

82%
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9%
11
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?

2%
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8%
12
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

32%
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8%
13
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

17%
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8%
14
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

19%
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8%
15
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

23%
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8%
16
Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

1%
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7%
17
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?

29%
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7%
18
Will Abelardo de la Espriella  win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

47%
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7%
19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

52%
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7%
20
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?

11%
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6%
21
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?

11%
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6%
22
US strike on Cuba by March 31?

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

18%
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6%
23
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?

36%
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6%
24
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

12%
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6%
25
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?

Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?

92%
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5%
26
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?

52%
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5%
27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?

10%
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5%
28
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

26%
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4%
29
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

16%
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3%
30
X banned in U.K. by March 31?

X banned in U.K. by March 31?

10%
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3%
31
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

1%
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2%