Caroline Elliott's lead in the latest May 1-2 Pallas Data poll of BC Conservative Party members—at 31% first preferences to Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 24%—drives trader consensus favoring her at 75.5% odds in this preferential ballot leadership race, where high ballot exhaustion (37% no second choice) amplifies the frontrunner's edge through eliminations. Findlay's 19.8% reflects her appeal as a former federal MP emphasizing fiscal conservatism, while Iain Black (18% polled, 2.9% odds) and others trail amid debate clashes over DRIPA repeal, Indigenous policy, and electability. Recent endorsements like MLA Bryan Tepper's for Elliott and membership verification pushes signal final momentum, with ranked online voting for 42,000 eligible members opening May 23 ahead of the May 30 announcement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertB.C. Wahlsieger der konservativen Parteiführung
Caroline Elliott 76%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 19.6%
Iain Black 2.8%
Yuri Fulmer 2.4%
$182,298 Vol.
$182,298 Vol.

Caroline Elliott
76%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
20%

Iain Black
3%

Yuri Fulmer
2%

Peter Milobar
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Harman Bhangu
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
Caroline Elliott 76%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 19.6%
Iain Black 2.8%
Yuri Fulmer 2.4%
$182,298 Vol.
$182,298 Vol.

Caroline Elliott
76%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay
20%

Iain Black
3%

Yuri Fulmer
2%

Peter Milobar
1%

Bruce Banman
<1%

Harman Bhangu
<1%

Warren Hamm
<1%

Darrell Jones
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Caroline Elliott's lead in the latest May 1-2 Pallas Data poll of BC Conservative Party members—at 31% first preferences to Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 24%—drives trader consensus favoring her at 75.5% odds in this preferential ballot leadership race, where high ballot exhaustion (37% no second choice) amplifies the frontrunner's edge through eliminations. Findlay's 19.8% reflects her appeal as a former federal MP emphasizing fiscal conservatism, while Iain Black (18% polled, 2.9% odds) and others trail amid debate clashes over DRIPA repeal, Indigenous policy, and electability. Recent endorsements like MLA Bryan Tepper's for Elliott and membership verification pushes signal final momentum, with ranked online voting for 42,000 eligible members opening May 23 ahead of the May 30 announcement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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