Dalton Eatherly, the controversial livestreamer known online as Chud the Builder, faces attempted first-degree murder and related felony charges from a May 2026 shooting outside a Tennessee courthouse that left both him and another man wounded. Traders assign "No" an 82.5% implied probability primarily because the case remains in its early stages with charges pending, Eatherly recently bonded out after nearly three months in custody, and his livestream account plus supporters frame the incident as justified self-defense under the state's stand-your-ground laws. No trial date has been set, evidence details are still emerging, and historical patterns in similar public altercation cases often yield acquittals or reduced outcomes when self-defense claims are credibly raised. Key near-term catalysts include any grand jury developments or plea negotiations that could clarify momentum.