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Politik·Globale Wahlen

Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien

icon for Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien

Abelardo de la Espriella 44%

Iván Cepeda Castro 42%

Paloma Valencia 12.5%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB) <1%

Polymarket

$29,293,923 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella 44%

Iván Cepeda Castro 42%

Paloma Valencia 12.5%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB) <1%

Polymarket

$29,293,923 Vol.

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$1,164,808 Vol.

44%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$1,016,859 Vol.

42%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$1,224,354 Vol.

13%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

$1,796,168 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo (DC)

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

$1,749,729 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$1,157,057 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Felipe Córdoba

Carlos Felipe Córdoba

$630,299 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila (IND)

Vicky Dávila (IND)

$2,857,367 Vol.

<1%

icon for Claudia López (IND)

Claudia López (IND)

$1,158,914 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez (IND)

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

$1,819,055 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

$1,518,495 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

$5,762,070 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

$708,114 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

$1,782,319 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$2,493,805 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$694,239 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$1,305,568 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$430,214 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The tight race for Colombia’s 2026 presidency reflects a polarized contest among leading contenders, with no candidate yet securing a clear path to an outright first-round majority ahead of the May 31 vote. Iván Cepeda, backed by the governing Historic Pact and President Gustavo Petro’s coalition, maintains strong support among left-leaning voters through pledges on peace implementation, rural development, and progressive reforms, while selecting indigenous senator Aida Quilcué as running mate to broaden appeal. On the right, Abelardo de la Espriella’s outsider positioning has driven recent gains in trader pricing by attracting voters seeking decisive change, yet conservative support remains split with Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center, whose primary win positions her as a more institutional alternative. Recent polling averages show Cepeda ahead in the initial round but vulnerable in runoffs, while prediction-market pricing captures uncertainty over turnout, undecided voters, and potential late shifts among centrist options. A June 21 second round would hinge on coalition consolidation and mobilization in key regions.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$29,293,923
Enddatum
21. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The tight race for Colombia’s 2026 presidency reflects a polarized contest among leading contenders, with no candidate yet securing a clear path to an outright first-round majority ahead of the May 31 vote. Iván Cepeda, backed by the governing Historic Pact and President Gustavo Petro’s coalition, maintains strong support among left-leaning voters through pledges on peace implementation, rural development, and progressive reforms, while selecting indigenous senator Aida Quilcué as running mate to broaden appeal. On the right, Abelardo de la Espriella’s outsider positioning has driven recent gains in trader pricing by attracting voters seeking decisive change, yet conservative support remains split with Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center, whose primary win positions her as a more institutional alternative. Recent polling averages show Cepeda ahead in the initial round but vulnerable in runoffs, while prediction-market pricing captures uncertainty over turnout, undecided voters, and potential late shifts among centrist options. A June 21 second round would hinge on coalition consolidation and mobilization in key regions.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$29,293,923
Enddatum
21. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 19 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Abelardo de la Espriella" mit 44%, gefolgt von „Iván Cepeda Castro" mit 42%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 44¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $29.3 million generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 29, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 19 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien" ist „Abelardo de la Espriella" mit 44%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 44% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Iván Cepeda Castro" mit 42%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Präsidentschaftswahl in Kolumbien" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.